Kanti Bajpai, Oxford University | February 9, 2010
The gap between China and India continues to grow, despite the tendency to group the emerging countries together. ++ China’s GDP is four times that of India and will likely double over the next 30 years. ++ By 2040 Chinese GDP is expected to make up 40% of global output, making it the biggest power in the world. ++ India has a number of options in how to respond to this shift in power—build its military, enter into alliances with the US, Russia, and Japan, settle disputes with China sooner rather than later, or hide from China.
Editorial, Le Monde (in French)| February 9, 2010
China has replaced Russia at the UN Security Council as the one remaining obstacle to coercive sanctions on Iran’s military nuclear ambitions. ++ The possible Chinese veto finds a sound echo among the emerging countries. ++ Brazil reaffirms its support to Iran even in the darkest times of Iranian diplomacy while Turkey would very much enjoy a trouble-shooter status. ++ Positions from Nigeria, the African heavy weight, and Lebanon, the only Arab country sitting at the Security Council, are unpredictable.
Editorial, The Daily Telepgraph | February 8, 2010
US President’s move to give up on Czech and Polish missile defence projects for a new deployment in Romania a few months afterwards might be confusing at first sight. ++ It is in fact another sign of Obama’s shift towards a foreign policy focused on American interests. ++ Shortly after the failure of the US President’s attempts at a “co-operative relationship with the rest of the world”, the American strategy has turned into a “phased, adaptive approach.”++ China, Russia and Iran should not be surprised to witness a more “mailed fist” America.
Thomas L. Friedman, The New York Times | February 8, 2010
Sana, the capital city proves the country is far from the gloomy picture of a terrorists’ homeland. ++ In spite of Al Qaeda’s deterring influence on tourism, there are English-speaking newspapers, N.G.O.s and a Yemeni population willing to overcome difficulties.++ But Sana’s week central government over a “patchwork of rural tribes” has allowed Al Qaeda to take root in the lawless southern region. ++ Most Yemeni people are illiterate and live on less than $2 a day. ++ Education good governance are solutions to stop the “Al Qaeda Virus.”
Quentin Letts, Forbes | February 5, 2010
The results of Britain’s inquiry into the legitimacy of the Iraq War threatens to tarnish Tony Blair’s legacy. ++ Evidence suggests that Blair agreed to commit troops to Bush’s war “no matter what happened”. ++ Despite attempts to charm his interrogators and the British people, Blair is viewed as little more than George W. Bush’s lackey. ++ Further damaging testimony accuses Blair of misinforming his cabinet members and essentially duping them into supporting the war. ++ The final report is expected to come out by the end of this year.
Garry Schinasi | Bruegel l January 2010
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | January 2010
Joshua Gross | Foreign Policy | January 2010
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Reiner Klingholz | Hoover Institution | January 2010
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Memo 22 |
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Atlantic-community.org has developed several policy recommendations regarding the international mission in Afghanistan. Members agree that improving the functioning of the state is necessary and that better governance, empowering local institutions must be one of ISAF’s primary goals.
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