Is there a Zimbabwean Solution to the Iranian Crisis?
Tony Karon, Time Magazine | June 19, 2009
There are four potential scenarios that could come out of the Iranian crisis. ++ A revolution is unlikely: neither side favors a coup. ++ The regime must avoid a Tiananmen-like crackdown as that would ruin its legitimacy. ++ If the opposition remains strong, the status quo will be untenable and the election results must be re-evaluated. ++ Ayatollah Khamenai will be hoping for the "Zimbabwe scenario" - that the movement can be contained and Mousavi can be forced into a power sharing agreement. ++ This will depend on the movement's endurance.
