Last July, more than 200,000 people flocked to a public
park in Berlin
to hear Barack Obama, then the Democratic candidate for president of the United States,
deliver a speech calling for renewed transatlantic partnership and cooperation.
The choice of Germany's
long-divided capital as the backdrop for his only public speech in Europe was deliberate. Now that Obama is president, will Germany respond
to the call and join the United
States as a key European partner in
addressing global challenges and threats?
Both countries would benefit from renewing their Atlantic
partnership, but some formidable obstacles persist. The most important
relationship Germany
will have to navigate is that with Russia, with whom it has deep
historical ties. Germany
is Russia's
largest trading partner and has become increasingly reliant on Russia's energy
supplies, buying a third of its oil and gas from the country. There is a
genuine military threat to Europe from Russia, as became
clear in the August 2008 war between Georgia and Russia and in
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev's threats to counter US missile defense plans
by stationing Russian missiles in Kaliningrad.
But Berlin's
pursuit of what German policymakers have insisted on labeling a "strategic partnership"
with Moscow has
put Germany
in the middle of the evolving tensions between Russia and the West. It has also
given Germany
a unique responsibility. The old German question has long been solved, with Germany firmly
positioned within Europe and the Western group
of nations. But now, there is a new and similarly urgent German question for
the twenty-first century: Is Germany able and willing to use its considerable
political resources to change Russia's
behavior and to stand up to Moscow
when necessary?
The war in the Caucasus
was a defining moment for German attitudes toward Russia, but there will be many more
such moments in the months to come. Future challenges posed by Russia will
thrust some hard choices on Germany's
leadership. It is time for a new Ostpolitik for the post-Caucasus war
era. But what is needed is a genuinely transformational scheme. This would
require an across-the-board, rather than a bilateral, approach. Germany and the
West should engage Russia broadly and imaginatively -- rather than grudgingly
and selectively, as the Bush administration did -- and contain and counter it
when necessary. As the conflict in Georgia showed, firmness and unity
from Europe can go a long way, especially when
backed up by the United
States. EU members and the United States
will all lose -- to Russia,
mostly -- if they compete against one another in eastern Europe.
Such a comprehensive policy would by necessity be
pan-European. But Germany
should be its initiator and leader, not only because of its historical
responsibility for Eastern Europe but also because its special relationship
with Russia
gives it greater weight and authority with Moscow than any other country on the
continent. The future of Germany's
legitimacy as a leader in Europe and as a
partner for the United
States -- not to mention the future of its soft
power -- depends on its success in this role.
However, to take up this challenge, Germany will
have to overcome an array of entrenched reflexes. It will have to:
- Think of Eastern Europe as a zone of first-order strategic interest rather than as a disparate jumble of faraway countries.
- Conceive of its foreign policy not in terms of constraints but in terms of choices.
- Overcome its fear of dependency on Russia, recognizing that Russia needs its Western customers as much as they need Russia.
- Understand that this new approach is not just about interests and strategy but also about solidarity, namely, defending the rights of countries that seek safety, prosperity, and democratic values and freedoms: the aspirations Obama spoke of in Berlin last summer and that the United States once protected in West Germany. To the extent that Russia acts to deny these essential rights, Germany and all of Europe must comprehend that they are being confronted with an authoritarian challenge to liberal Western democracy. For reasons of moral self-preservation as much as solidarity, balancing is then no longer an option. That, in the end, is the answer to the new German question.
Dr. Constanze Stelzenmüller is
Director of the Berlin Office of the German Marshall Fund of the United States.
A longer version appeared
first under the title "Germany's
Russia Question - A New Ostpolitik for Europe" in Foreign Affairs (March/April 2009). This shortened version
is published with permission from the author.



March 10, 2009
Hans Reuther-Fix
history and with that vision to the future is not a pleasing script just reflecting
the last twenty years of liberal Western Democracy.
In short, this type of democracy is motivated by credit favored, deficit encouraged monetary mentality, which was applied without a moral base
and which is now undergoing a violent compression in the USA.
Further the " black hole " of a one ( key ) currency base makes not only living of the savings of others more convenient, but also helps in forming " mega
currency institutions " and put the sovereignty/ autonomy of other countries into considerable doubt.
To add to this perspective and remembering that fifty two US/ Allied military bases are still on German soil, should put the " Diplomatic Cloud " of Germany
into a new light and must be seen from the perspective of corralled
subordinated countries.
On the other hand Poland 's and Czech Republic's desire to host
defense sytems against mischevious nations, should serve as a reminder that history can repeat itself , sometimes in a contra-flow motion.
Therefore the German- Russian Question must now be seen from
geneological considerations as both countries have a long history
of interactive relationships.
Then, advocating a " Swedish Corridor " through Eastern Europe
to the Black Sea would clearly show one's objectives for whatever
imperial reaons.
HRF