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August 5, 2010 |  6 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

Lukas Linsi and Mustafa Kutlay

Whither EU-US Relations?

Lukas Linsi and Mustafa Kutlay: It is quite clear that US-EU relations are far from being satisfactory. More worrying than the cooling down of transatlantic relations in itself, however, is the fact that it is the result of an absence of clear vision and political will on both sides of the Atlantic.

The election of Barack Obama as President of the United States in November 2008 was accompanied by popular enthusiasm in Europe. During his election campaign, he was given a rapturous reception in Berlin, where over 100,000 spectators gathered to hear him speak at the Victory Column. But the support for Obama in Europe was not confined to a popular movement; European political elites also pinned their hopes on Obama to improve transatlantic ties after the divisions that marked the era of George W. Bush. After all, Obama was a declared multilateralist in international politics and seemed ideologically close to the traditions of European social democracies on policy priorities such as health care reform, climate change and tax reform. At the same time, the European leaders in France, Germany and Great Britain were considered to be exceptionally "pro-American." The moment seemed unusually ripe for transatlantic cooperation, and it was no surprise that Obama's first overseas trip as US President led to Europe.

Less than two years later, however, transatlantic relations have reached a historic low: Last February Obama cancelled his expected visit to the EU-US summit, saying that his "agenda was full." A few weeks later, he didn't even concede a private appointment to José Luis Zapatero, who at that time was visiting Washington DC in his capacity as the term president of the EU. More recently, US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates publicly blamed the Europeans for pushing "Turkey eastward." At the G20 summit in Toronto that took place in the last week of June, Obama again clashed with his European counterparts by publicly disagreeing about the timing of public spending cuts. This accumulation of tensions led European Commission President José Manuel Barroso to announce in an interview with the London-based The Times last Thursday that "very frankly, this [transatlantic] relationship is not living up to its full potential."

What went wrong in transatlantic relations? Taking the recent divergence into consideration, two reasons may be put forward. First of all, the cooling down of US-EU relations is certainly an expression of the global shift and reconfiguration of power, which has led both parts to seek new political and economic alliances. In today's complex world, it is no longer possible to speak about a common 'West' unified against another common bloc, say 'Soviet' or 'Communist', as it was the case during the Cold War. The emergence of the Asian powers as new players in the game has shaken the balance. As Newsweek writes in a recent piece, the "United States is dedicated to building a closer relationship with Asia." It is therefore no surprise that the observers of the G20 summit noted a bias of President Obama towards the Asian representatives and against their European counterparts. At the same time, due to the fizzling domestic agenda, the advancement of increased cooperation between the US and Asia has been more difficult for Obama than expected.

The second important fault line between the US and the EU can be observed in their approach to the global financial crisis. From the very beginning of the financial crisis, the US and Great Britain insisted on the continuation of their Anglo-Saxon free-market models and tried to overcome the financial debacle via stimulus packages without substantial changes in financial structure. On the other side, the political leaders of continental Europe, mainly under the flagship of Germany and France, insisted on the reconfiguration of the global financial system and on the tightening of capital flows. Moreover, the European leaders have announced historical austerity programs while Obama's administration insists on the need for a prolongation of the fiscal stimulus. In fact, there is no clear 'exit strategy' in the minds of European leaders. This became apparent in the recent Greek crisis when they dragged their feet in acting at the 'union' level rather than the 'national' one.

So the vital question becomes: Is there a true 'Union' with which the Obama Administration can foster further cooperation when dealing with the incoming complex problems of our globalized world? The European governments obviously lack a clear vision even for their own future. Undoubtedly, this can lead to crucial problems for the functioning of the global political and economic system.

Lukas Linsi is a graduate student at London School of Economics.

Mustafa Kutlay is a political economy researcher at International Strategic Research Organization (USAK).

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Felix F. Seidler

August 5, 2010

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Very good article. But I do not think Europe will become a primary partner for the US. In the coming decades Europeans will have to deal with their public debts, ailing welfare states and demographic changes. Therefore, Europeans will be more or less concerned about themselves. A future vision from Europe for transatlantic relations is unlikely to occur, because European politicians will be quite busy with reacting on their interior problems.

If you would be Obama, I would look to Asia as well. Instead of Europe, the Asians are "doing" and not constantly "talking". Look on all the Chinese infrastructure projects (railways, airports, highways, etc.). In contrast to Europe, the Chinses finish their projects in short time. A good example is the fourth runway of Frankfurt Airport. It took many year of judical proceeding before the work could start.
 
Mike  McCormack

August 6, 2010

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Agree with the authors as well as Felix.
 
Chris  Wilcox

August 6, 2010

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Though I do agree with Felix and Mike, I am wondering if the authors and we are not basing our discussion on the premise that the transatlantic relationship should always remain as it was. I fear that is unrealistic in a rapidly globalizing world. Europe is undergoing significant internal change. This is bound to affect not only its relationship with the US, but will also alter the way NATO will function. For a good article on the topic, see:

http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubI...

Isn't the question rather whether, as the US engages other partners worldwide and Europe's importance declines, that is necessarily bad for international stability? Would it not be worse not to adapt to changing circumstances? Perhaps the Europeans should use the occasion to redefine the European project. If they succeed in this, they may once more become attractive partners for outside forces, the US included.
 
Paul-Robert  Lookman

August 6, 2010

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The authors give two answers to their question: “what went wrong in the transatlantic relations”. Where in my view a solution to the global financial crisis is a matter of time, the first answer, the changing balance of power in the post Cold War world is the key one, as it also explains Obama’s attitude at the G20. The US sees in China its main adversary in the conquest for world dominance, it expects to massage old and new Europe into compliance.

As regards the “vital question” in the last paragraph, given the complex attitudes of voters in most European countries, in the foreseeable future there will not be a single European “Union” with which the US can do business. Frustrating as it may be, the US must engage European governments individually. A “United States of Europe” concept is a matter of the far future. The Obama administration will have to deal with matters relating to the global political and economic system on a one-by-one basis, and in the framework of existing international platforms. But that is not new. What worked in the past can work in the future. And one can wonder what the US prefers: a strong and unified Europe as a potential global challenger, or a divided Europe, which it can manage through a divide-and-rule approach.
 
Olaf  Theiler

August 6, 2010

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@ Chris
To answer your questions:
The fact that the US is looking for other partners wordwide is not automatically bad for international stability. The outcome depends more on the intentions behind that shift. If it is just about adopting to changed circumstances, it would be fine. If it is about finding partners for a new kind of global "grand game" for domination, partners to balance against China and/or India, the answer would be much more complicated.
But of course you are right, not to adopt at all would be worse, both for the US and for "EUropeans". Instead of adopting the EU to a changed environment, unfortunately only the European Nations seem to be adopting themselves by becoming more egoistic, by distancing themselves from the European project. The rational behind that negative trend is that national governments try to enlarge their policy options to react in uncertain circumstances while at the same time being tempted to be more egoistic in times of declining financial and economic wealth. So they cling on to their national power that is only limited but much more open to their influence than the higher level of combined power of the EU that they are not able to influence in a comparable way.
Unfortunately , by neglecting the assets of a combined European power they are not only alienating the US instead of convincing them that it is still worth the trouble to engage with their European partners, but also wasting a window of opportunity to influence global developments before new powers like China and India achieve their full power - which will then allow them to change the rules without asking the old European nations for their concurrence.
At the same time, the US would need their European partners (now and not only in 10 to 20 years time) to balance still existing temptations to achieve global dominance. And this closes the circle: the change of priorities in the US foreign policy is taking place now, the mindset of a new generation of future US leaders is going to be set now. If Europe does not have a place in these mindsets, we risk to face a very different international environment that will be much less in favor for European needs and hopes.
 
Grant  Fox

August 9, 2010

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Good article. The transatlantic relationship is definitely tenuous as of late, much for the reasons you indicated.

I am conflicted, for as an American I can recognize the shifting of global tides and waning of American power, to what degree and velocity is a matter of debate for another time. From an emotional perspective, I wonder why the EUropean states are not providing more support for the American agenda abroad, since the United States provided much for Europe, especially since WWII. Why are our friends abandoning us in a time like this? Why is there no serious support, at the very least in rhetoric, for our activities in Afghanistan and Iraq? Is their no reciprocity?

Obviously, my questions lack reason and, on surface, suggests that the transatlantic relationship is asymmetric (it's not). The EU is diverging from American interests because it must, if it wants to maintain itself in light of the global financial strain and power shifts. I don't believe that this realignment will necessarily lead to instability; that being said, I do believe that the EU should not burn the proverbial bridges in exchange for offers of immediate respite for their financial woes. If battening the hatches for the EU mean that they rewrite the narrative of the EU/US storyline, and this keeps the EU intact instead of disintegrating, then this is the best possible course of action for them and the world.
 

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