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November 14, 2011 |  8 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

Fraser Cameron

Why Europe Must Up Its Game in Asia

Fraser Cameron: America’s new Pacific engagement should be a wake-up call to Europeans. It is both a signal that they have been neglecting an Asia policy and a reminder that the EU must be more serious about providing for its own defense and asserting its influence as a populous and economically powerful union.

Unlike the US under Obama and Clinton the EU does not seem to recognize the importance of Asia. Not a few Europeans were embarrassed to hear that Sarkozy had been urging China’s president to contribute to the Euro rescue plan. Why Europeans should expect Asians to contribute to the bailout fund for the Euro when Europe did little or nothing to help the Asians during their financial crisis of 1997-98 is a mystery.

In her article in "Foreign Policy," Hillary Clinton did not mention Europe apart to say that the US would not neglect its traditional allies. But as Washington looks more and more across the Pacific it will inevitably have less time to look across the Atlantic. Former US Defense Secretary Robert Gates spelt it out clearly before he left office: Europe will have to take more responsibility for its own security and regional security. In other words, do not expect a debt-ridden country of 300 million people continue to pull chestnuts out of the fire for a 500 million strong EU with a higher GDP than the US. Europe must do more for its own security; that is the first lesson from America’s Pacific focus and internal economic and financial problems.

The EU must also make a greater effort to engage with Asian regional groupings. Catherine Ashton’s decision to skip the Asian Regional Forum (ARF) in Bali in July was just the wrong signal. Belatedly the EU is seeking to join the East Asia Summit as an observer but Asian members are in no rush to open the door. It will take some solid work by the EU and its member states to convince Asians that they are serious about the region.

On the trade front the EU has largely given up on the multilateral agenda and is seeking bilateral deals with Korea (completed) and Japan, Malaysia, Singapore (under discussion). But it is way behind the curve as the proliferation of FTAs in Asia shows. The Asians also want more signs that the EU views them as more than just a market. NATO has boosted ties with like-minded countries such as Australia and Japan but there is no consensus to take further steps in the region. It will remain a marginal player in the region.

Some media commentators have spoken of a G2, meaning the US and China. In reality the most important G2 in the world remains the US and Europe, as together they account for a far higher share of GDP, trade and investment than any other two actors. But the US and Europe should be looking at ways to bring China into their discussions. There are few problems in the world that can be resolved without these three giants agreeing. It will not be an easy task to coax China into being a ‘responsible stakeholder’ but the prize is so great that the US and Europe should go the extra mile to establish this new G3.

Fraser Cameron is a former European Commission advisor and Director of the newly established EU-Asia Centre.

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Greg Randolph Lawson

November 15, 2011

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I argue elsewhere that Europe needs to tend to itself for the time being. Its fiscal crisis places it in an untenable situation. If it can't resolve internal contradictions, it will have a difficult time doing much on a global scale.

The U.S. is the only both trans-Atlantic and trans-Pacific power. It will have to shift its focus to Asia as it is now under President Obama (and will continue in a second term or in a new Republican Administration in 2013).

If Europe wants to avoid being a strategic black hole, it needs to up its game within itself before it can play with any seriousness in the Asia field.
 
Unregistered User

November 16, 2011

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The European Union misses the point. Russia has been a major player way before The US decided to go and talk to the Chinese. The best way for the Europeans not to snob Russia at every point, but establish the transit lines to China. Such cooperation would bring its fruit not just in widening and deepening the European reach, but also in bringing Russia into a European fold as an equal, not as a pariah. Georgia, Lithuania and other minor players are the detractors in the geopolitical game, trying to achieve their own petty interests at the expense of greater good that may come in the form of tremendous markets of these emerging economies.
Tags: | EU | Russia | China | cooperation |
 
Jason  Naselli

November 16, 2011

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Food for thought: Russia is also making its first ever appearance at the East Asia Summit this weekend. While we have been focusing on the relationship vis-a-vis the United States, they are also a major player, and arguably one also "punching below its weight" in the Pacific region recently.

However, historically, Russia and China have not gotten along very well, so pulling off some sort of cooperation between the EU, Russia, and China would be quite the diplomatic feat.
 
Regina  Bakhteeva

November 17, 2011

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In the context of this debate it is noteworthy that Russia has actually gone beyond the West-East or Europe-Asia debate when it comes to its identity. Now one can hear voices in the Russian political community arguing that Russia is a Euro-Pacific power. And some specific foreign policy actions seem to back this assertion. In 2009 Russia welcomed the creation of the ASEAN center in Moscow (based at the MGIMO-university), in 2010 it joined the Asia-Europe Meeting, in 2011 (on 14 November) Russia has officially assumed the APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) chairmanship from the USA. In 2012 Russia hosts the APEC summit in Vladivostok.

It is true that historically Russia and China have not always enjoyed warm relations. However, if we are also to consider a political dimension nowadays, then compared both to the US and EU Russia has an advantage – there is no risk that it might raise uncomfortable for the political regime in China questions. Besides, Russia and China cooperate quite successfully when it comes to their activities in the UN Security Council.
 
Jason  Naselli

November 17, 2011

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So Regina, what I hear you saying is that Russia could be more of a competitor to the US and the EU, rather than an ally? In that China might be more open to allowing them into the region because they won't raise the uncomfortable political questions? What might be the consequences of that and if Russia did take further steps toward the Pacific, how do you think the US would respond?

In this context, it will be interesting to see how Medvedev and Obama interact (if at all) during this weekend's summit.
 
Regina  Bakhteeva

November 17, 2011

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Jason, I would refrain from stating that Russia is more of a competitor to the US and the EU than an ally when it comes to China. With my previous comment I intended to show that despite some uneasy relations that Russia and China have experienced historically, there is a common ground between them that is conducive for their cooperation. Thus when discussing possible Russia, China, the EU cooperation we should not be distracted by that historical factor, especially if we bear in mind that Russia has showed itself as an adherent of realpolitik diplomacy. Therefore, whether it is an ally or a competitor depends on what Russia perceives to be in its interest at a particular moment.

As you are probably aware, this Monday China has awarded Russia’s PM Putin with the peace prize (Chinese alternative to Nobel Peace Prize). It might be interpreted as a sign in favor of good relations between the two countries, however, I do not think it will have any tangible bearing on Chinese being more open to Russians and letting them into the region unless Russia demonstrates real capacity to operate there. As for the US response, I can only hypothesize about that now since I have not followed this issue closely. At this stage I will leave this question unanswered.

Medvedev and Obama met during last weekend’s APEC summit in Honolulu. The statements made by the two presidents following their talks can be found here http://eng.kremlin.ru/news/3069 Given that, I would not really expect anything new from the upcoming summit.
 
Jason  Naselli

November 18, 2011

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From what I have read, the government was against giving the peace prize to Putin and attempted to disband the committee and claim no award would be given this year. That doesn't sound like countries that are growing closer to me. (Not to mention the bizarreness of the whole thing; the Confucius Peace Prize was always a political stunt anyway, and now the committee was claiming it was giving him the "peace" prize for his outstanding war in Chechnya... Nobel has made some bad choices but never tried to justify them on such ridiculous grounds.)

I think precisely because they are both realpolitik adherents, they are naturally skeptical of having one another on their doorstep and it makes cooperation difficult. In this case, I agree with you that it depends on what the self-interest is at the moment.
 
Regina  Bakhteeva

November 18, 2011

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My understanding is that the Chinese government tried to disband the committee not because it contested the decision to give the peace prize to Putin but rather because of the prize’s dubious status in general (its debut last year was not very successful, with the winner not even having been aware of his award). It was actually in Germany where the decision was taken not to give so-called Quadriga awards at all this year precisely because Putin was announced to be one of its recipients. Clearly Putin has bad luck will this prize business, perhaps Medvedev would be a safer bet in this respect.
 

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