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All items tagged AssadOpen Think Tank ArticlesMarch 8, 2012 | The Syrian Uprising: Signs of a Protracted Military ConflictAlexander Corbeil: As the Syrian crisis heads into its second year, all signs point to a protracted struggle, in which neither side gains an advantageous position. The military dimensions of the current uprising and other intricate factors have amalgamated to ensure a lengthy and indecisive conflict. ... MoreGlobal Must Read ArticlesApril 11, 2012 | Reducing Violence by Including AssadDelivering aid to Syria’s armed opposition groups will most likely escalate violence. ++ This is because of the political complexities within the country. ++ Although large portions of the country support toppling the regime of Bashar al-Assad, there are many who are more likely to fear instability and violence in doing so. ++ Pursuing negotiations for a political transition that would ... MoreMarch 14, 2012 | Syria's StalemateThe conflict in Syria is bound to last for some time. ++ Too many countries are waiting around for someone else to take action. ++ Turkey and Jordan refused to be drawn in by creating safe havens along the Syrian border. ++ Assad’s armed forces are able to hang together but not put down the rebellion everywhere. ++ The regime cannot risk mass Sunni defections from the army by carrying out a large ... MoreMarch 9, 2012 | Syria Intervention: All or NothingAny half-measures undertaken to stop the Syrian conflict might only inflame the situation. ++ Syria’s rebels are failing against the better-armed Assad regime. ++ A rising death toll increases the calls for intervention. ++ Piecemeal measures such as arming the rebels or setting up safe havens could prolong the conflict and risk a wider regional war. ++ Decision makers should not go with ... MoreMarch 7, 2012 | How to Refer Syrian Leaders to the ICCSecuring the investigation into Syrian war crimes is imperative. ++ Syria is not a member of the ICC so the only way to give the tribunal jurisdiction over the country’s leaders is through the Security Council’s enforcement. ++ The court’s jurisdiction to investigate and prosecute could be limited in order to get China and Russia on board with a Security Council vote. ++ If Assad was to quit ... MoreFebruary 9, 2012 | Time to Make Nice with AssadThe violence in Syria could result in a full-blown civil war. ++ The controlled collapse of the Syrian regime is not possible considering that the army, the elites, and other segments of society still support the government. ++ With support from Iran and Hezbollah, Assad has the means to prolong the conflict. ++ A drawn-out struggle might ignite sectarian violence in the region. ++ The West must ... MoreFebruary 2, 2012 | What if Assad Survives?Bashar al-Assad is hanging onto power in Syria despite a gradually developing civil war. ++ The current turmoil is the most precarious moment in Syria’s post-independence history. ++ No matter how much condemnation and bloodshed, the Assad regime is likely to continue fighting, even alone if need be. ++ While his time might be numbered and everyone outside of Syria apparently foresees ... MoreJanuary 16, 2012 | Turkey Balances East-West Interests Over SyriaTurkey is now spearheading a joint Western-Arab-Turkish policy of forcing President Bashar Assad to cede power in Syria. ++ Previous good relations with Syria and Iran were part of a “zero problems with neighbors” policy. ++ Turkish attempts to mediate between the US and Iran have been wrongly interpreted as an “Islamic” foreign policy; their turn to the East is in fact based on solid strategic ... MoreOctober 12, 2011 | A Time to Stand Against AssadEurope and the US must not let cowardly vetoes and abstentions from the BRICs stop them from continuing to press Syria on its brutal crackdown on demonstrators. ++ Even though the UN Security Council resolution condemning President Bashar al-Assad failed, calling for a vote was the right decision; it showed clearly who stood with the opposition and who stood with the dictator. ++ Democracies ... MoreNovember 16, 2009 | Israel's Strategic ImperativeSyrian President Bashar Assad’s call for the resumption of negotiations with Israel, demonstrates his commitment to reaching a peace deal. ++ Netanyahu should accept his offer for talks as a peace agreement with Syria would give Israel important strategic advantages. ++ The alliance Iran is leading against Israel would weaken, Hezbollah would be reined in and Israel would gain another recognized ... More |
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