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September 20, 2010 |  5 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

An Emerging Cyber Cold War

Lyle Brecht: The vast majority of the cyber ecosystem infrastructure resides in the hands of private actors, both in the US and the rest of the world, not public sector government. Thus, the private sector should secure the cyber ecosystem. That’s the best way to prevent a cyber cold war among nations.

The debate on cyber-security in the US is bedeviled by three constraints that if not addressed directly and sufficiently, may set off conditions for a global cyber cold-war. This may occur if the US Congress moves forward to enact parochial cyber-security legislation that attempts to unconditionally place other nations' cyber networks at a permanent competitive disadvantage. Presently:

  1. Few participants in the American discussion over cyber-security legislation have an adequate idea of what constitutes an acceptable level of cyber-security, how to measure it properly, or how to calculate an appropriate economic return on invested capital (EROIC) to achieve such security;
  2. Within the US federal government there are vastly different and conflicting agency missions that are likely to defeat any well-intentioned international cyber security accords and may result in hundreds of billions of wasted dollars by nations in a new cyber cold war should such legislation be enacted;
  3. Within the US private sector, there is a general lack of understanding of the magnitude of the problem as a global concern, denialism by key players, and a shocking lack of interest in achieving the general public good if it in any way affects shareholder returns.

What constitutes security and how to measure whether the cyber ecosystem is more secure for a given allocation of capital (budget expenditure) is not sufficiently thought through. Does achieving a secure national cyber ecosystem warrant the expenditure by all parties of $20 billion a year or $200 billion and over what time frame? How timely must these investments occur? What is the impact on other country's cyber networks should the US enact such policies?

The vast majority of the cyber ecosystem infrastructure resides in the hands of private actors, both in the US and the rest of the world, not public sector government. Thus, mechanisms to involve the private sector in securing the cyber ecosystem are required. Due to the rapid evolution of threats, a highly responsive and flexible policy approach to mitigating risk is required. This means that traditional command and control regulatory approaches to address this problem are unlikely to be wholly successful. Command and control regulatory frameworks are often too slow, fraught with contention and litigation, and typically unable to evolve with sufficient rapidity as new threats emerge.

One option is to include a market-based approach to any proffered regulatory schemes to improve the security of cyberspace. The advantage of this approach is to involve the private sector in securing the world's cyber ecosystem. This may be an effective means to reduce private sector cyber ecosystem vulnerabilities. An important aspect on any market-based approach might be to include financial incentives to help speedup technology adoption cycles for key infrastructure components by the private sector and disincentives for infrastructure users who fail to implement best practices and adopt new technology to secure the global cyber ecosystem.

Ultimately, existing market imperfections that enable the private sector to discount the cost of systemic risk to the economy from cyber vulnerabilities need to be addressed. Generally, private sector actors (with few exceptions) will make economically rational decisions. Business as usual will continue, and foot dragging and litigation will flourish as long as mandated command and control regulations that add costs without perceived financial benefits to their organization's bottom line are promoted as a solution to cyber-security concerns.

Most of all, international sanctions against cybercrime and nonproliferation accords among nations are required to avert another cold war among competing nations. This time in cyberspace, such a race would drain the world's economies of capital badly needed for economic development.

Recently, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates stated that he considered the US national debt to be number one threat to the national security of the United States. Globally, a combination of world debt and lack of capital to fund human development threatens the global security. It would really help if the world's private sector helps drive cyber-security reforms, not only for the US, but for the benefit of all the world's countries, rather than to see yet another arms race, this time in cyberspace. It is past time to redefine National Security to include not only national economic security, but also global economic development opportunity.

Lyle Brecht is business development adviser, social entrepreneur and President of the Blue Heron Group.

 

 
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Tags: | cybersecurity | Cold War | lyle brecht |
 
Comments
Unregistered User

September 20, 2010

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I agree, but I must remind you that the i.e. "cyber terrorism" is not only a "buffer overflow attack" or same manner practices. Now it is also shared through "fake profiles" in "social networks" to damage images of public or private people and their relations.
In the last months many attacks through the platform "Facebook" haved as victims many
jewish people and also friends of the atlantic treat.
These attacks was started by a group of useful idiots binded to a diverted intelligence and its name is RINASCITA BALCANICA (Balkans Reinassance) based in Bosnia (Banja Luka) and Italy (Rome) and their links are www.rinascita.info, www.etleboro.com, www.signoraggio.it and so on. They have relations with the prisoner Karadzic and his entourage and also the death betrayer Francesco Cossiga from italian militar intelligence.

Guglielmo Rinaldini
Strategic Intelligence Division

http://guglielmorinaldini-strategicintelligencedivision-stratint.fo...
 
Eliot  Ames  Rolen

September 24, 2010

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While I agree with Mr. Brecht's assertions that cyber terrorism needs to be guarded against given the proclivity for everyone, from the private individual to the world's governments to place their most private information online in order to encourage easy collaboration at the cost of increasing their vulnerability to cyber terrorists, we must stay vigilant that attempts to reinforce cyber security must be prevented on infringing on internet neutrality.
Placing authority in the hands of the private sector will allow them to moderate their interests' security in the most situationally appropriate way, but the security of government networks is contingent on the cost effective implementation of 'workable' solutions through internal channels, not innovative, or long tail ones proven to succeed in the private sector. So in order to enact what you suggest, the technological ideology of most governments needs to change. I too hope that this is feasible, but, governments will only react, and work to combat the threat that cyber terrorism presents after an incredibly damaging attack has taken place. I too hope that this is not the case.
Tags: | cyber terrorism | Eliot Rolen |
 
Edvinas  Pauza

April 15, 2011

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The idea that private sector will only secure the cyber-ecosystem is rather naïve. Because it would be an accident waiting to happen, similarly to the financial crisis. One academic on cyberspace has said “just as we do not expect airline to defend cyberspace against foreign governments. And second, in the absence of government intervention, adequate security will not be provided (Lewis, A.J., 2010: 58), the second statement is very truth in comparison to financial crisis, because there is already issues with users privacy on Internet. While by leaving it all to private sector, abuse of user private information will be at risk, as we already pay by our ‘cookie’ information, to use so called ‘free services’ online.

Russia, China and numerous other Internet superpowers possess capabilities to take out cyber-space of the whole states. In the process causing enormous damage to the economy. Cyber-space is global, and borderless, and thus its governance should reflect so.

Private security has enormous growth potential within ever expanding cyber-space sphere. But it will be always of concern for state security as well, because of high economical dependence on IT.
 
Edvinas  Pauza

April 15, 2011

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*full text

The idea that private sector will only secure the cyber-ecosystem is rather naïve. Because it would be an accident waiting to happen, similarly to the financial crisis. One academic on cyberspace has said “just as we do not expect airline to defend our airspace against MIGs, we should not expect Internet providers to defend cyberspace against foreign governments. And second, in the absence of government intervention, adequate security will not be provided (Lewis, A.J., 2010: 58), the second statement is very truth in comparison to financial crisis, because there is already issues with users privacy on Internet. While by leaving it all to private sector, abuse of user private information will be at risk, as we already pay by our ‘cookie’ information, to use so called ‘free services’ online.

Russia, China and numerous other Internet superpowers possess capabilities to take out cyber-space of the whole states. In the process causing enormous damage to the economy. Cyber-space is global, and borderless, and thus its governance should reflect so.

Private security has enormous growth potential within ever expanding cyber-space sphere. But it will be always of concern for state security as well, because of high economical dependence on IT.

Reference

Lewis, A.J., 2010. Sovereignty and the Role of Government in Cyberspace, Brown Journal of World Affairs, 16(11)
 
Unregistered User

June 13, 2011

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"We are entering the era of a cyber arms race, but the problem in this arms race is we don't know what kind of new arms the others have, so we don't have a quick, effective means to counter them," Mikko Hypponen said at a meeting on global cyber conflict organised by the Tallinn-based NATO Cyber Centre.
Tags: | cyber arms race |
 

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