In another
round of Harvard University's CES Berlin Dialogues, the recent economic rise of
China and India was further examined by a line-up of panelists engaged in the
debate on the "new ‘New World Order'". Setting the event's overall tone,
Professor Yu Bin, a Senior Fellow at the Shanghai Institute of American
Studies, accused the West of harboring only anxiety, alarm, and animosity with
respect to the rise of non-Western nations. According to Yu, it is not the
intention of Asian countries to overthrow the current world order, but rather
to become fully integrated members, with hopes to duplicate the wealth enjoyed
by those few situated on both sides of the Atlantic.
Referencing
charts that compare the chronological order and duration of European and Asian
wars, Yu argued that China and India's rise to power has been the most peaceful
since the Peace of Westphalia in 1648. Therefore, on a security basis, why
should the West fear the rise of Asian, albeit undemocratic, nations? After
all, it is the current world of democracies that Yu named the "white nations",
which also gave birth to the Crusades, genocides and the two "great European
civil wars."
Assailing
the general assumption that Europe will be irrelevant in building a new world
order in which Asian countries play a critical role, the Washington Bureau
Chief for Die Zeit,
Martin Klingst, argued that Europe will remain quintessential for nations such
as China and India, serving as an example for democratic, regional integration.
As a critique of Yu, Klingst maintained that a serious challenge for China's
ascension to the international order would be its own altercation with a
one-party system. I could not agree more fully.
In stark
contrast to Yu's somewhat demagogic positioning of China in its historical and
current context, Sujit Dutta of the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses
in New Delhi, offered a critical, fact-oriented assessment regarding the
conditions and challenges facing India's increasing global role. Confronting a
weak infrastructure, overpopulation, and its destabilizing relations with
conterminous Islamic populations, India's cooperation with the international community
is paramount to its future success.
Considering
that India is much more self-sufficient than China- given its domestic,
consumption-based production economy and largely vegetarian population- I found
it interesting that he was more adamant than Yu on binding itself to a world
order based on democratic institutions and human rights. In fact, although
India could more comfortably pursue a policy of isolation than China, Dutta
named as one of India's formidable strengths its ability to promote a
pluralist, integrative society that sets an example to the tumultuous region
surrounding its borders.
Regarding
bilateral relations between China and India, Yu ended a trite recognition of
India's existence as a powerful, ancient Asian culture with a "salute to India!!"; a comment
that reminded me more of a black and white film shown in history class than of
a respectful acknowledgement of a nation's quintessential neighbor.
So why
cannot China do anything right? In his soft-spoken eloquence, Yu almost had the
audience laughing by listing the paradoxes of China's recent transgressions;
overpopulating and the one-child policy; protectionism and flooding Western
markets with cheap products; reluctance to industrialize and crimes against the
environment. In all fairness, he had a point, it seems as though China is
always disappointing us.
I think,
however, Yu has missed the point; a point on which Klingst pinned the donkey's
tail; democracy. Ascending to a global order and a global market is creating
wealth in China. As this wealth slowly disperses into more hands, more people will
request the right to determine its use. This necessitates a society governed by
the rule of law, which we now know (thanks to all the lessons of our bloody
"civil wars") requires a democratic government, where multiple political
parties are able to represent the pluralistic interests of its constituents. It
seems like China is accelerating in this market-oriented, thereby
democracy-necessitating direction. Perhaps Yu should go back and reread his
history of the West, at least from a textbook published under the auspices of
free speech.
If China
were ever to develop deliberative, democratic institutions, perhaps then a
serious debate, pointing out the flawed realities of the system and its needed
reform, could ensue. Until then, I guess we could tolerate a bit more one-party
rhetoric and presumptuous propaganda. After all, we are the sons and daughters
of Henry VII, Napoleon, and Mussolini.
Had I had
more time during the Q&A to reflect and pose a really difficult question
for professor Yu that I thought might stump him, it would have been something
like the following: "Professor Yu, if you could be the government for a day,
what would you do differently?"
Ethan Arrow is an editorial intern at the
Atlantic Community. He is currently an MA student at the Free
University of Berin, studying European Integration within the scope of
German Studies.
Related materials from the Atlantic Community:
- Michael T. Klare: The Rise of the "Petro-Superpowers"
- Andrew Bishop: Is China the New Japan?
- Eckart von Klaedon: India's Changes




June 26, 2008
Donald Stadler, Self-employed, Diamond Contributor (1052)
China fought in Korea in 1950 and with India in 1962. I think there were border clashes with the USSR during the 70's. China swallowed Tibet in 1950 or 1951, but there are more grey areas there than commonly acknowledged in the West in that Tibet had been a province of China for hundreds of years and broke away during the warlords period for less than 50 years. China lost Taiwan to Japanese imperialism (not sure quite when). China has been threatening Taiwan for 50 years now - but has anyone noticed anything obvious yet? They are STILL threatening today - there has been no war.
Then there was Hong Kong, where China exercised patience, made threats, and eventually won back diplomatically. I think they are playing a similar strategy with Taiwan.
Contrast this with the rise of France, Germany, and the US. Or even with the formation of the UK. No lack of bloody wars in any of these. The US had only one majro war but the Civil War was a humdinger.