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September 2, 2009 |  1 comment |  Print | E-Mail Atlantic Memos  

Memo 18

Topic EU and Turkey to Mediate Balkan Tensions

Memo 18: More than a decade after the Dayton Agreement West Balkan countries are fighting over EU membership and against the resurgence of nationalist forces. These factors presently contribute to the emergence of renewed conflict potential. The European Union and Turkey have a key role to play as mediators.


Atlantic Community members agree that the increasing confrontations in the countries of the former Yugoslavia pose serious risks to both regional stability and European security.

During the Balkan Theme Week they developed the following suggestions to resolve the conflicts in the West Balkans with a special focus on Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia and Croatia: 

1. The EU must curb internal counter-Balkan movements.

On the whole atlantic-community.org members are supportive of Macedonian and Croatian accession to the EU. They criticize Greece and Slovenia for using the EU membership negotiations as leverage in their bilateral conflicts with Macedonia over a name dispute and with Croatia over a border issue respectively (Macdonald).

Andreas Raab and other members urge EU leaders to prioritize this European problem, which has led to rising alienation in the West Balkans and ultimately risks instability in the entire region. Wolfgang Stock argues that at present EU members are solely concerned with avoiding internal conflict at the expenses of making progress with the Balkans. The EU must identify protocol and procedures to use against countries that are exploiting their membership for national interests. It is essential that the EU imposes more effective fines on members such as Greece for infringements against European values, the blockade of a legitimate candidate states and denial of ethnic minority rights (Popcan).

Our members agree that what is of concern now is the issue of solidarity vis-à-vis the Balkan states and new EU members (Mazzucelli). A solution is that the two issues of border sovereignty as well as the conflict over Macedonia's name should be separated from questions of entitlement to EU membership (Posaner). 

2. Brussels should encourage its Macedonian and Croatian A+ students.

Our members agree that Skopje and Zagreb have successfully implemented institutional reforms, thus the EU membership criteria are fulfilled. However, the current stalemate is cause for disillusionment, which could impair former successes. The EU has to keep membership perspectives for Croatia and Macedonia alive, as this incentive serves to unite different political forces in both countries. This holds also true for Bosnia where disillusionment could further weaken the already fragile national identity (Rusila).

Gregor Schueler argues that the new veto on Croatian membership is a setback not only for Zagreb, but the entire region. Although the EU's capacity to act quickly and efficiently must remain a priority when considering enlargement (Schueler), our members conclude that Croatia and Macedonia have made important progress and must therefore be rewarded with clear EU membership perspectives (Paet). This way, the European Union will stabilize the Balkan region and expand its zone of peace. 

3. Turkey must act as front-row mediator.

Atlantic Community commenters recommend that the EU and UN should not be considered as sole mediators (Kovalenko) because these organizations simply do not possess all the necessary political instruments to solve the Balkan disputes (Olszewski). Regarding the EU's loss of credibility, due to the many accession delays, a middleman with close cultural ties could be better suited (Milunovic). With regard to the possible collapse of Bosnia, atlantic-community.org members suggest that Turkey must be considered as a mediator as Ankara has become a key protagonist in recent Balkan diplomatic and economic developments (Tetenburg).

Despite frustration at stalled EU accession talks Turkey should redirect its efforts to implement its own regional policy in ways that promote both national and European interests in the sphere of continental security (Mazzucelli). Thus, Ankara should focus on bilateral conflicts, while the EU concentrates on strengthening stability through enlargement perspectives. Although Bosnian membership currently poses few advantages to the EU, Daniel Korski believes that it must nevertheless remain a concrete goal to include Bosnia in accession talks as well. Only this can effectively persuade local leaders to work together in creating stable state institutions.

Atlantic Memos showcase the best ideas and arguments from debates in the Open Think Tank www.atlantic-community.org. Please take the next step and help us spread the word. You can download a PDF copy of this Atlantic Memo to distribute to your local or national decision-makers. The recommendations expressed above come from your Atlantic Community.

                                                                              Written by Nikolina-Romana Milunovic

 
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Michaela Verena  Abate

November 13, 2009

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I am convinced that the Balkan stil represents a great challange, especially for the European Union. Already Alexander Langer (former MEP) stated in 1995, in Cannes, in front of representatives of the EU that "the European Union either dies or is born again in Sarajewo" ("Denn Europa stirbt in Sarajewo oder wird hier neu geboren.")

So now, yet 12 years after his statement, the European Union has even more the responsibility to witness and to act, for the Union has to concentrate more on its key role in social matters and a cooperation starting from Brussels, "the heart of Europe", and don't concentrate merely on her function as an economic organisation.
Therefore I agree completely on the "new role" of the EU, whereby it should not be the EU to act primarily (due to loss of credibility and insufficient methods) on the balkan but also other states- organisations. Nevertheless I think that it is important for the EU to keep the interest in the balkan and support ongoing actions by other entities. The EU should try to regain the loss of credibility and simply don't let the Balkans "alone".
 

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