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November 2, 2009 |  5 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

Europe Needs To Liberalize its Gas Market Now!

Ivan Kalburov: Instead of paying both the economic and political cost for huge infrastructure projects the EU should liberalize its gas markets. By creating a community regulatory agency for imports, exports and national transport networks the EU would greatly enhance its energy security and international standing.

Following the January gas crisis Europe has awoken once more to the grave danger of its energy security being under threat. However, instead of sober economic calculations and market mechanisms the EU continues with its infrastructural dream. The 'mega' projects of the Nabucco and South Stream pipelines are often mentioned as saviours of EU energy security, but they are too expensive and politically troublesome. Besides they are only about the pipes and infrastructure and not about the development of sources and effective distribution. Instead, the EU needs a single energy policy and regulatory agency to decide on the levels of gas imports, exports and transit on a continent wide basis. This is the quickest way to deliver both security and to optimize consumption and reserves.

Today, the major problem that the EU faces on this issue are as follows: 1) Huge dependency on Russia (42% of gas imports) and 2) disproportional energy diversification between Eastern and Western Europe. While the dependency on Russia is decreasing with improvements in renewable sources and energy efficiency the second problem persists. Not only does it mainly effect new member states but it also creates greater costs for the old ones. The proper way to address this challenge is to build the necessary connections between national gas markets whilst creating a single regulatory mechanism at community level. Such a mechanism would be responsible for the import and export of gas from country to country and would gather information about the supply, production capacity and consumption needs. In this way an integrated regulation mechanism would create both economic and political benefits. Besides these advantages the liberalizing of the EU's energy market would have a positive effect on Europe's energy security in the following ways:

  1. National deficiencies would become European ones which would in turn facilitate common positions on both energy and foreign policy.
  2. The gas supply security would increase in all EU countries because in the case of a problem in one member state the flow can easily be diverted. While this would be particularly advantageous for new members it would also bring political dividends for older ones.
  3. The gas issue would therefore be depoliticized by such moves and Russia would not be able to build EU splitting coalitions. Currently this is the biggest weakness of the EU and if this can change through internal integration instruments it would enhance the groups international standing.
  4. If the EU implements market liberalization and community regulation successfully then it would supply a very good reference point for the rest of the world. This would be of key importance in the long run as most gas exporting states have state owned energy sectors. This is the case with Russia too, whose energy market is only functioning thanks to costly government support.

Currently the dysfunctional Russian gas market poses a significant threat to the EU's energy security. With domestic prices artificially low no one sees a reason to invest in energy efficiency. This leads to huge losses and as a result the Russian company Gazprom gains 100% of its profits from only a quarter of the gas it sells - the one for export.  Furthermore, the Russian state monopoly strongly discourages any attempts at new investment, developing new gas sources and improving the infrastructure. According to the International Energy Agency, Russia should invest around $11billion for both maintenance and further development of its energy infrastructure. However, this money is currently mainly used for consultancy and new pipelines whilst development is totally neglected. Indeed, Russia now invests more in the future Sochi Olympic than it does in its energy sector. This may create the ironic situation where the richest country in terms of resources could run out of gas and not be able to export the amounts it's contracted to.

We had such a case in winter 2005/6 and if we want to avoid it happening again we should work towards the liberalization of energy markets. This would ease the progress of energy efficiency and strengthen foreign policy positions throughout Europe. Furthermore, it would not require the huge investments seen in Nabbuco and South Stream. What it requires is political will. If the supporters of a single energy policy lose the fight with the lobbies of the construction companies and the bureaucrats the EU will miss a golden opportunity to take a major step toward solving its energy problems. Liberalization is where we should start and then the diversification of routes and sources would be the cherry on the top of the energy security pie.

Ivan Kalburov holds an MA in International Relations from CEU, Budapest. He writes a regular blog at http://criticae.wordpress.com/.

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Jakob  Schirmer

November 2, 2009

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Thanks for your opinion, Ivan! I agree as far as the liberalisation of the European energy market is concerend. However, in my opinion your approach does not promote liberalisation substantially enough. You claim a "regulatory agency to decide on the levels of gas imports, exports and transit on a continent wide basis" - is not that a further buerocratic monster and mega project? Why not let the market organise itsel freely? By the way this is my opinion also towards the Russian energy market. We should stop the simple Russia-bashing. It should be noticed that there are tendencies in Russia opening its domestic enrgy market to international investors. E.g., just today the media reported that E.ON Ruhrgas will participate in the gas field Yushno Russkoe with 25%, Wintershall owns another 25% and Gazprom the remaining 50%. Moreover, Putin recently announced the privatisation of about 5000 state owned companies. Of course it is a long way to a free market. In Russia as well as in the EU.
 
Sonja  Davidovic

November 2, 2009

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The liberalization of the European gas market is critical. However, it is hard to imagine a liberalized gas market if key players, such as Gazprom, hold monopolistic positions that block the efficient use and distribution of gas. Another problem is that state owned oil and gas companies typically do not operate under free-market principles. First, the company’s profits are part of the state budget. This means that the government can decide to divert the retained earnings that should be re-invested in the maintenance and expansion of their assets and services to other less profitable sectors of state expenditures. The consequences are insufficient funds for the exploration and development of new gas fields, which is crucial for the financial profitability and competitiveness of any oil and gas company. As Ivan pointed out, this constellation threatens Europe’s energy security and also increases gas prices in general as rising operational expenses resulting from that neglect are commonly passed on to the end-consumer. Second, state-owned companies are more prone to corruption and nepotism than privately held companies. Third, the management practices and price setting policies in national gas oil companies are intransparent since there are no effective oversight mechanisms. Fourth, the corporate policies are constrained by national and state objectives. In responsibility to its shareholders, the private company is obligated to follow market rules, while state-owned companies, particularly in the energy sector, are guided by political and strategic calculations. Since all of the outlined points impede the efficiency in the use and distribution of gas and create higher costs, the liberalization of the EU gas market should begin with the privatization of state-owned players in the energy sector.

As Jakob notes, the creation of yet another regulatory mechanism would not facilitate but only hinder the free play of market forces. It is the market, not another body that should determine the amount of traded gas. Also, I do not see how this agency would operate given that there is no coherent common EU energy policy.

Jakob mentioned the development of the Yuzhno Russkoye gas field as one example of Russia opening its energy market to international investments. But he forgot to mention that in return for E.ON’s participation, Gazprom will take over from E.ON Ruhrgas its 49 percent interest in the Russian company ZAO Gerosgaz, which holds almost 3 percent of the Gazprom shares. So the share package of E.ON Ruhrgas’ will be transferred to Gazprom ownership. Also, the Gazprom Group will receive a 49 percent stake in Wintershall AG authorized capital. Care to disentangle and figure out the ownership share in the project company Severneftegazprom?

The EU gas market is not sufficiently developed and integrated. New pipeline projects would help the integration of the European gas market by creating new connections and linkages. This would decrease the gas prices in the long-term. In addition, competing pipelines offer alternatives and the necessary diversification of energy sources that ensure low gas prices and enhance energy security. We need competition on the European gas market. Caspian and Middle Eastern gas supplied through Nabucco and other pipelines within the Southern Corridor could have the potential to initiate the necessary liberalization of the EU gas market and force Gazprom to reconsider its investment and business development strategies.
 
Andrey  Chubyk

November 3, 2009

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EU has an effective instrument, just not strong enough at the moment, but hopefully going into craft during next years - Energy Community. Organized mostly for Central and Eastern Europe countries, this mechanism could serve as joining link between all players on the energy market.
EU should go further with implementing 3 gas package in order to overcome the monopoly of vertically integrated companies.
Creation of an single gas market is also very important. It could be organized, involving greatest companies, which would set contracts with production companies on average annual volume of gas and for 10 years (it is necessary for providing reasons for investments into development of new fields). Having certain volumes of gas, for example, in gas storage facilities in different places (Germany, Austria, Netherlands, Ukraine), here it will be much easier to go from gross sale to smaller volumes for end consumers (each EU member state).
It is crucial, that Russian Gasprom makes all possible efforts to buy assets abroad, forgetting at the same time about internal development. In the middle term it could lead to the situation, when its export capacities will run down, so the ownership of pipelines without gas seems to enforce Gasprom becoming buyer instead of seller... Or maybe it is the last opportunity, given quite scrubby investments into production during last decades, of securing even some revenues after collapse?...
Tags: | Gasprom | gas |
 
Ivan  Kalburov

November 3, 2009

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Really nothing personal about Nabucco, but Turkey may turn out to be another Ukraine (given the NATO-EU-Cyprus issue). Then what? Build pipeline under the Atlantic? It is not pipes that we need now, but a single European energy market, regulated at Community level. This includes delegating authority, and building interconnections in Europe. The market now runs like 27 PCs on 27 processors. We can make it much more efficient by integrating them into 27-core single processor. The fan and cooling we need for that is called political will though.

National energy markets are heavily regulated even now. A common EU agency will gather information about them and through regulating business mechanisms at community level will create competition and unbundling national networks. Privatization of state-owned companies will naturally facilitate this process, but the EU does not have the word there for now. Plus, even if a company is private, the government can still protect jealously its interests (as it happens now with many ???)

Why Regulatory agency is what we need ? how do we get gas today in cases of deficiency ? Through national storage or negotiations with neighboring country/company. It goes without saying that the former is very limited and the latter is very time-consuming. The only way to make up for national deficiencies is to make them European. National storages should be linked together and barriers to freely moving them should be removed. In other words, creating energy market. This can happen through community legislation, as in the case with the single market. It is not serious to say that we do not need regulations in this case. The difference is that they will come from supranational authority.

Jakob, I really hope Russian market will overcome monopolist, but I do not see it happening. German companies swap shares with Gazprom, but without the Russian giant they cannot neither develop, nor sell either in Russia or anywhere else. In fact, by doing so they are undermining liberalization efforts, which is not the good EU-wide strategy. Of course, German government sees it otherwise.
Tags: | Gazp |
 
Sonja  Davidovic

November 4, 2009

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Dear Ivan,

Although I disagree with the core recommendations presented in your article, I truly appreciate your thoughtful arguments and their contribution to a vivid European energy debate. Please feel free to contact me if you wish to continue a more detailed exchange of ideas on energy issues.

My point is not so much about Nabucco or any pipeline in particular, it is more about the need of diversifying Europe’s gas supply sources. The existence of alternatives will provide for a sustainable integration of the European gas market, while reducing Europe’s vulnerability towards Russia and reducing gas prices at the same time. I highly doubt that Turkey could turn out to be another Ukraine for several reasons. Turkey is a NATO ally who proved its reliability not only as transit country for European energy supplies, but also as a partner in the Middle East peace process as well as regarding outreach efforts to other Muslim countries in the region. In return for its pivotal position for European energy supplies and it overall importance for EU and US interests in the region, Turkey’s EU accession process will be accelerated. Certainly, Turkey has to meet all the necessary preconditions for this to happen including the normalization of its relations with neighboring Armenia, the resolution of the Cyprus conflict and the settlement of the Kurdish question. And, indeed, this year we have been able to note important movements in all three areas. Once these issues are resolved, we can expect to welcome Turkey in the European family, where it belongs. Speaking at a conference organized by the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung Association at Bilgi University in Istanbul in August this year, the former German Minister for Economic Cooperation and Development Heidemarie Wieczorek-Zeul extended her support to Turkey's EU bid noting that Europe and Turkey would be stronger together. She further stated that Turkey's accession to the European Union would stabilize the world's most delicate region and be a source of motivation for neighboring countries. This is a groundbreaking statement given that Germany has been the one of the most vocal opponents of Turkey’s EU accession.

To be fair, one has to note that Turkey’s demand for the preemptive right to buy 15 percent of the Azerbaijani gas that would pass through the Nabucco pipeline at a price that is less than European netback prices as well as the demand for taxes and transit fees that are higher than in other consortium member countries did threaten to pose a serious blow to the success of Nabucco. Ultimately, these issues were settled through the signing of the intergovernmental agreement in July this year. However, it is about keeping the right balance between giving and taking that will ensure the quality, longevity and reliability of our relations, not so much about commitments stipulated in an agreement or contract.

 

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