Issues Navigator

Global Challenges

Strategic Regions

Domestic Debates

Tag cloud

See All Tags

June 30, 2011 |  5 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

Germany - out of NATO, out of Europe, out of Mind?

Soeren Keil: It seems as if Merkel is more interested in what is good for Germany in the short-term than what is good for the EU and consequently Germany in the long-term.

 


A lot has been written lately about Germany’s new foreign policy or the “New Germany” as it is sometimes called. What is clear is that we can witness important changes in German foreign policy since the end of the Cold War.

One has to wonder whether we are about to embark on a period of German self-exclusion from NATO and even from the European Union. NATO does not mean a lot to Germany anymore, because the country is surrounded by friends and it becomes harder and harder for German politicians to explain to their electorate why German interests are defended in Afghanistan. In the European Union Germany has become the main break to further integration and innovative solutions to the financial and economic crisis. Merkel finds it hard to make it understood that bail-outs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal (and most likely Greece again) are of key importance for Germany as the strongest economy in the EU and the Eurozone. Merkel also fails to mention that these bailouts come with a rather high interest rate as loans and not as often portrayed in the German media, as free gifts. In the long-term, Germany as the main provider of financial assistance, will not only benefit from a stable Euro-currency but also from interest-repayments.

Merkel also fails to build coalitions with other key EU actors on this issue and is known in France as “Madame Non” and in Europe as conservative and short-sighted due to her reluctance in the current crisis. Once again it seems as if Merkel is more interested in what is good for Germany in the short-term than what is good for the EU and consequently Germany in the long-term. The question Merkel will have to answer very soon is if these two questions can be distinguished.

And then there is Libya. While France and the United Kingdom demonstrated early on their willingness to intervene to stop the bloodshed in the country, Germany was first reluctant, then against intervention of any kind and is currently not sure of its own position. When the UN Security Council voted on international action against Colonel Qaddafi, Germany abstained together with countries such as Brazil, China and Russia. While these are certainly important countries in a changing world, was it really in Germany’s interest to vote different from all major Western and European allies? There are many reasons why Germany did not want to participate in military action in Libya probably the state of its military resources being one of the main reasons, but the self-isolation makes it hard for Germany to take part in important international decisions. This is particularly important for two areas:

1. Germany still hopes to gain a permanent seat in the UN Security Council as the result of a fundamental reform of this institution. While there is little doubt that such a reform is needed, there is also little agreement on the actual nature of such a reform. However, Germany’s self-isolation in Libya has not strengthened its case for a permanent seat, in particular not in those capitals that see Berlin as a key ally.

2. European Foreign and Defence Policy has been completely re-organised as a result of the Lisbon Treaty. Baroness Ashton is now the face of the EU in foreign affairs and the European External Action Service is slowly but persistently taking shape. However, because Germany as a key country in Europe failed to engage properly with the revolutions in the Arab World in general and Libya in particular, Europe missed the chance to make Libya its own problem and demonstrate that it can respond and that it has learnt its lesson from the early 1990s but also from the Iraq War. Instead Europe once again is divided in a key foreign policy issue that is after all a fundamental European problem (colonialism, refugees, oil etc.).

German foreign policy in the past focused on EU and NATO integration. These were cornerstones even after unification. However, important changes have taken place and Germany more often than not prioritizes its own national interests. These however remain undefined and unclear. Consequently, German foreign policy makers face two important issues, first to define German interests in the 21st century and secondly to analyze if German interests today are really so different from the past 60 years. Is Germany not anymore interested in a strong NATO alliance to provide international security and in a strong European Union that can act as a cornerstone of a new multilateral world order? What, then is the alternative?

Dr. Soeren Keil is Assistant Lecturer at the University of Kent in Canterbury and Seasonal Lecturer at Canterbury Christ Church.

  • 5
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this Article! What's this?

 
Tags: | Germany | NATO | Merkel | Libya |
 
Comments
Unregistered User

June 30, 2011

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
The author of this article is still stuck in the Cold War mentality! Author's quote - "was it really in Germany’s interest to vote different from all major Western and European allies?"
The author is implying that German people are bunch a sheeps that need a direction from a shepard.

Author's another quote - "Germany’s self-isolation in Libya has not strengthened its case for a permanent seat, in particular not in those capitals that see Berlin as a key ally". Will German's real friends withold permanent member seat at the UN? Sounds to me that the German Western friends are really arrogant and selfish. Another reason Germany should not be lead by the coalition of the willing, but rather look after German interests first.


Author's another quote - "because Germany as a key country in Europe failed to engage properly with the revolutions in the Arab World in general and Libya in particular, Europe missed the chance to make Libya its own problem and demonstrate that it can respond and that it has learnt its lesson from the early 1990s but also from the Iraq War."
Author can not be more wrong about Germany's involvement in the Arab world. Germany was not trigger happy as her western allie's methods. Germany was a realist country that was really happy not be egaged in an illegal and unjust war in Iraq. Now we see the secterian violence in Iraq for which the occuping powers knew were to happen prior to invasion but did not have a plan prevent it.

Why would Germany want Lybia to be its problem? Germany does not have any ties to Lybia. Germany is smart about its political weight and the responsibility that comes with using its influence in the world. It seems that the western countries are only supporting "freedoms" in Lybia. Would the western countries support Germany in taking military action against oppresive regimes in Bahrain or Saudi Arabia.

Germany is on right track and with the world evolving the priorities and friends also change.
 
Unregistered User

June 30, 2011

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Mr. Keil,
Human rights violations in Libya certainly, but why recently.
Just before the uprising 35 billion $ were transferred to the US and 45 billion $ to Europe and confiscated......
Libya's ruler wanted to nationalize all oil ventures and he also wanted to start to divide
30 billion$ of oil revenue to the people..........
In addition, there were also attempts by Arab nations to start a modern Islamic monetary system, which Libya tried to promote............
All this besides BP's oil undertakings in Libya...............
The only reason I offer this, because there is this phenomena of cause and reason,
which seems to get overlooked in socialistic management.

As to Germany, allow me to offer some historic events and then let us know if
the EU, as intended would be a stable solution for the future:

I am now referring to a 1961 speech by Benjamin Freedman in Washington D.C., in which he expressed himself in recalling Germany at the time of Napoleon and Bismarck.
The German Reich at that time consisted of 300--three hundred--- small city states,
principalities,dukedoms ans so forth. Between the time of Napoleon and Bismarck they
were consolidated into one state.
Within 50 years they became one of the world greatest economic powers. They were doing business all over the world, they could outsell others and make better products.
But what happened then and as a result of that.
There was a conspiracy between England, France and Russia that : " We must slap Germany down". There isn't any historian who can find a valid reason, why these countries
decided to wipe Germany of the map politically.

I am also reminded of the recent press conference by President Obama, in which he
indicated that the US must stay competitive with Germany and China, as the are selling their products world wide.

Further, with German Cabinet sittings with France, Israel, India, Poland and now China,
perhaps also Russia, isn't this indicative of a change of geopolitical dynamics.

And on another page, England and perhaps France cannot ask the rest of Europe, as you indicated, to solve their colonial mistakes.

Why again this German bashing.

HRF



Tags: | tx |
 
Diana  Levy

July 1, 2011

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Dr. Keil,

Thank you for your post. I agree that Germany seems to be deciding when it is convenient or in its own best interests to be involved in wider European or defense interests. However, the German people are not the only citizenry to oppose the involvement of its government in Libya or Afghanistan. Therefore it could be argued that Merkl should be applauded for listening to her people rather than fold to pressure from other leaders. Reasoned dissent would be helpful on the Security Council.
 
Unregistered User

July 5, 2011

  • 2
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Dear Commentators,

thank you for your contributions.
Let me address some of them.

First, there are always more reasons why countries intervene than the "human rights abuse" argument. That is a fact of warfare and interest. Human rights abuse just sells better. For me the question is not why the West did not intervene in Bahrain or Syria (although this indeed is an interesting question) but why Germany did not follow through with its main allies. Even during the Iraq War it sided with France and some other European countries against the "Coalition of the Willing" but it never isolated itself as much as we see now. And the question I ask therefore is why. The answer I try to give is twofold. On one side I argue that the Merkel government is short-sighted and centred around short-term gains rather than long-term successes. Now one might dispute that a German engagement in Libya will result in a long-term gain (we will have to see about that), but certainly Germany's current self-isolation will be of tremedous disadvantage in the future. On the other side I suggest that the current government has no long-term foreign policy agenda and therefore decides rather ad-hoc. There is massive evidence for this from Greece to Libya, to Afghanistan....(by the way, I am also not the first to say this ;-)

Second, I am not necessarily suggesting that Germany should have willingly followed the UK and France into fighting in Libya, although some might think that is what I want to say. What I want to say is that Germany isolated itself, because its abstination in the Security Council and its following political statements were not coordinated with its allies and were not communicated coherently (Merkel argued that she agreed with the resolution to protect Libyian people but disagreed with military intervention....how else do you want to protect the people against a mighty army?).

Finally, I am also not suggesting that Germany should forget about its national interest. Of course it should not, all states take decisions based on their national interest. However, in the past German national interest was defined by what is good for Europe, because Germany was the biggest winner from a successful Europe. In a world that is becoming multipolar, more competetive and more complex than ever before, I believe this fact has not changed. Angela Merkel might disagree and so might some of you but how can German interests be any different from a successful prospering European Union? How? I cannot see it!
 
Unregistered User

July 6, 2011

  • 2
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Dr. Keil,

I found your article very interesting, and would like to comment on the economic aspect that you briefly mention. I don’t think the Germans see the opposition to the bailouts to be equal with the opposition to the strong and successful EU. Germany has been fond of the EU, and even the bailouts received public support first. Now there is a growing sentiment that the EU has failed the Germans first by selling out their interests, not the other way around.

The German people seem to have reasonable doubt whether the bailouts will actually help the euro at all. Now that the Greece bailout funds have been secured, the credit rating agencies downgraded the status of Portugal’s bonds. Why? The Portuguese bonds should be considered extremely low risk since the EU has practically committed itself to bailout all the eurozone nations on a verge of default. Many Germans would argue that the rescue packages help the banks and the international bond traders first of all. The real risk of “contagion” is precisely the spreading of downgrading by the credit agencies, the escalating interest rates on “risky” government bonds, and the EU providing the funds to compensate the private banks and traders cashing in.

Germans do not see Chancellor Merkel challenging the bailouts, but she can hardly defend them either. The private sector contributions to the bailouts come out as merely a lip service, and the austerity measures imposed on Greece are not realistic. As Dr. Keil argues, she does come out as a confused and unsure leader. But to her defense, it is hard to be sure what is for the best interest of the EU and Germany at this time – many doubt the conventional economic wisdom offered by the ECB.
 

Create Comment

Type the characters shown in the image below into the textfield.
Captcha

What are tags?

Community

Jobs / Internships

Call for Papers

Atlantic Events

Partners

User of the day

Anna  Przybyll
Anna Przybyll
"A wise old owl lived in an oak The more he..."

Poll

Should NATO intervene in Syria?