For
the last 20 years German Foreign Policy has been remarkably continuous. Despite
widespread fears over the future course of the country after the end of the
Cold War, a mix of strong normative as well as material interests has ensured
that Germany continued to work towards further European integration and towards
the further development of NATO and the UN. Simultaneously, the country from
the mid-1990s onwards contributed increasingly more to international security
by means of providing troops for UN, NATO and EU-military missions
("Normalization"). Thus, the decision to abstain from the vote on Security
Council Resolution 1973 is a hugely worrying sign to say the least. It
seriously calls into question some of the core tenets of German Foreign Policy
in the post-Cold War era.
Firstly,
it questions the assumption if Germany still wants to take on more
responsibility in global affairs. The abstention is unique since it
dramatically depletes German hopes of obtaining a permanent seat on the UN's
Security Council. In the past German voting within the UN aimed at supporting
this claim and the contribution to UN-missions even where German interests were
not directly affected (UNIFIL, for example) underlined Germany's ambition. Not
even a year ago Germany competed against EU and NATO-partners in a crucial vote
to become yet again a non-permanent member of the Security Council. Against
this background, the decision seems simply inexplicable; in particular since
all German conditions for intervention (UN-mandate, Arab League-support and
Arabic military contributions) were met.
Secondly,
very much the same question can be raised about Germany's willingness to
further foster the EU's international capacity. Only a few years ago, Germany
certainly would have welcomed the opportunity to demonstrate the EU's
willingness and capacity to intervene in its direct neighbourhood on behalf of
the International Community and in the name of Human Rights. Since the US has
been clear from the beginning that it did not want to assume leadership in the
campaign, this would have been a unique opportunity to further develop the
Union's Common Security and Defence Policy through concrete action. As for
NATO, it is in my opinion too early to judge if there will be repercussions.
Thirdly,
it questions the assumption that German Foreign Policy is guided and influenced
by normative ideals. The Kosovo War provides a good contrasting point: Up until
1999 German discourse on Foreign Policy was dominated by the perception that
Germany, due to its history had the responsibility to ensure that the use of
force would never again become an acceptable means in the realm of
International Politics ("Nie wieder Krieg", i.e. "No more wars"). After
Europe's failure to intervene decisively in Bosnia-Herzegovina and in the face
of a perceived threat of yet another genocide in the Balkans, this concept of responsibility
was re-interpreted as a responsibility to ensure that ethnic hatred and
genocide would never again be allowed ("Nie wieder Auschwitz", i.e. "Never
again Auschwitz").
Yet,
almost to the date 12 years later normative ideals seem to be completely absent
from German Foreign Policy towards Libya. One has to remember, that in Kosovo
Germany participated in a NATO-campaign that was not endorsed by a UN
Resolution. In Libya we have a dictator who has used force against his own
people and threatened civilians to take revenge. We have a broadly supported UN
Resolution that aims to avoid just that, and yet Germany was neither prepared
to support the resolution, nor to actively contribute to the campaign.
If the
reason behind this really was the upcoming state elections in Germany and the
worries about German public opinion, which overwhelmingly (62%) approved
international intervention and even more overwhelmingly (65%) disapproved of
German participation in it, then the German government has lost a lot of
hard-earned political capital for a domestic gamble that did not pay off since
the governing coalition lost both state elections.
20
years after the end of the Cold War the world is far from being a better and
safer place. Germany as one of the leading economic and trading powers is
hugely dependent on maintaining peace and stability on the globe. Sometimes
this means that the country has to contribute to unpopular and risky missions. As
a country we will be better off if we realised the challenges ahead of us and
continued to co-operate with our partners in order to meet them. In the past
German politicians have done well to conduct Foreign Policy without leering at
opinion polls. Failure to do so in the years ahead might have far graver
consequences than loosing a state election every once in a while.
Stephan Vormann is working on a PhD on German Foreign
and Security Policy at the "Centre for the Study of Wider Europe" at NUI
Maynooth.


