The
global economic crisis and climate change are probably the two signature
challenges of our time. Luckily, there are ways to make our responses to these
challenges mutually reinforcing.
One
approach is to green the expenditures of the fiscal stimulus packages, as
called for by the final communiqué of the G20 summit. But the room for
maneuver here is limited. An estimated 15 percent of the stimulus packages are
already green. And because it is the primary objective of the fiscal stimulus
to support the economy in the short run, it is not possible to devote a much
larger proportion to the longer term objective of fighting climate change.
However,
there is another way to green the stimulus: greening the enormous additional
debt due to deficit spending. In 2009 alone, European Union countries will pile up a
stimulus debt of around €115 billion, or 0.9 percent of GDP, with the United
States adding twice as much - an estimated €220 billon, or 2 percent of GDP.
These debts could be "greened" by a firm international commitment to repay them
exclusively with additional revenues from CO2 taxes and emissions cap and trade
schemes.
This is
what I propose should be done.
The
additional green revenues would be raised as soon as economies recover enough
to repay the stimulus debts. The time-path of debt repayment could be
explicitly linked to the timing of the economic recovery. And once the stimulus
debt has been repaid, the green revenues would be used to reduce the fiscal
burden on labor. Such a shift from taxation that reduces desirable employment
to taxation that reduces undesirable pollution will lead to welfare gains.
The
envisaged increase in green revenues is ambitious, but not utopian. In the European Union, green taxes already make up 2.6 percent of GDP - substantially more than
the annual size of the stimulus packages to date. Green tax revenues in the
United States are far lower, but the Obama administration is already working on
a cap-and-trade scheme that could generate the required revenues.
Repaying
stimulus debt through green taxes has a number of advantages:
First,
there are efficiency reasons to complement the carrot of green subsidies with
the stick of green taxes. The latter clearly addresses the underlying problem,
namely that private agents do not fully take into account the negative climate
externality of CO2 emissions. By contrast, the carrot of green subsidies is
better suited to dealing with a narrower and positive externality - the
spill-over effects of technological innovation aimed at reducing CO2 emissions.
Second,
green revenues not only improve environmental but also fiscal sustainability. A
credible commitment by countries under fiscal pressure on how they will repay
their debts could serve to reassure financial markets. Even countries like
Ireland without the fiscal room for maneuver for discretionary fiscal measures
might be tempted to participate in the greening of part of its debt.
Third,
green debt makes the case for coordination of fiscal stimuli even more
compelling. Such coordination could address fiscal and environmental
free-riding at the same time: All countries that commit to a fiscal stimulus
would thereby automatically commit to increase their CO2 taxes at a later stage
to service their green debt.
Only a
couple of years ago, this proposal would have been completely unrealistic.
Ironically, the threat to fiscal sustainability during this economic crisis may
be decisive in helping our economies to move toward environmental
sustainability.
Jakob von Weizsäcker is a resident scholar with Bruegel, a think tank in Brussels partly funded by 16 EU member governments.
This article was first published by the International Herald Tribune and is reproduced here with permission from the author.
Related Materials from the Atlantic Community
- Jeffrey D. Sachs: The Transition to Sustainability
- Marek Kubista: Copenhagen Summit: The Key to Success Is to Include the BRICS
- Soyen Park: The Legacy of the Financial Crisis Awaits Us in 2020



April 17, 2009
Michael Schuster, University of Vienna, Silver Contributor (69)
But: Will governments pay back the debt? It seems to me that governments always find excuse to keep their budget big rather than reducing the debt. I am afraid we will have to wait very long until this green tax will be reaped.