The Bucharest Summit dispute about NATO enlargement and the appropriateness of Membership Action Plans (MAPs) for Georgia and Ukraine renewed the long postponed debate on NATO-Russian relations. How should NATO deal with Russia's desire for great power status? Could NATO enlargement to Eastern Europe succeed without alienating Russia?
With regard to the upcoming work on NATO's New
Strategic Concept, the three main arguments concerning NATO-Russia relations
from the authors and commenters on Atlantic Community should be kept in mind:
1. Is
enlargement worth the trouble with Russia?
Most Atlantic Community members agree that in a post
Cold War world, NATO faces global security issues. As Dr.
Andre Kelleners points out, NATO's focus has shifted from power-balancing
to questions of world terrorism, nuclear proliferation, and totalitarian
regimes. Global intergovernmental cooperation is crucial to successfully
dealing with these threats and NATO enlargement is therefore necessary. The
majority of Atlantic Community Members agree with this assessment and in the
recent Atlantic
Community survey, European and US Foreign Policy analysts and Atlantic
Community members expressed strong support for Ukraine's NATO aspiration.
Furthermore, most survey participants from Eastern Europe voted in favor of a
swift enlargement process. Dr.
Tomas Ehler argues that offering MAPs
to former Warsaw Pact countries would support their reform activity and draw
them closer to western democratic values. Andris
Spruds also emphasizes the potentially stabilizing role which MAPs could
play.
2. The need for
a special partnership with Russia.
From a Russian perspective, both NATO itself and NATO expansion are threats. As
Dr. Andreas
Umland explains: "the roots of Russian statehood lie in Kyiv and Crimea
hosts a major Russian naval base." Russia will therefore not be willing to give
up this region. Dr.
Hans Giessmann emphasizes that we must "prevent the East-West ice age" from
returning and strongly suggests including Russia in the enlargement debate.
Alienating Russia by expanding NATO to its borders is not wise at a time when
Europe and the US "hope to move on from the Putin era of confrontation" says Dr.
Kelleners. Other Atlantic Community members emphasize that Europeans need
Russia as a partner. Hans-Ulrich
Klose stresses that Europe longs for Russian cooperation in security
matters and depends on Russian energy reserves. Kelleners therefore suggests that NATO should seek to "carve out a special role of some
other sort for Russia" in which Russia would have more than its current
partnership status, but would not be integrated into NATO's military command
structures.
3. Russia's
desire for great power status.
While
most commenters believe a special partnership with Russia is needed, they also
point out that "Russia is doing everything that it can to reemerge as a major
world player" and would therefore likely reject such a partnership. Lukas
Vitalius further elaborates and writes: "Russia has no intention [of]
joining NATO or the EU. It is a power of its own." Ilyas
Mohsin suggests that Russia is too suspicious of western countries trying
to gain influence over Russian energy reserves to consider integration. Donald
Stadler also fears that although integrating Russia into NATO structures
would ease the Russian perception of being threatened, the alliance would
become meaningless if its former reason for creation vanished. Stadler additionally points to the problem of NATO's raison d'etre after
the end of the Cold War by asking if US participation in NATO is still
necessary.
Atlantic Memos showcase the best ideas and arguments from debates in the Open Think Tank on www.atlantic-community.org. The recommendations expressed above come from your Atlantic Community - please take the next step and help us spread the word. You can download a PDF copy of this Atlantic Memo to distribute to your local or national decision-makers.
Written by Johanna Gregor
Related Materials from the Atlantic
Community:
- Peter van Ham: Why NATO Slowly Fades Away
- Frank-Walter Steinmeier: Yes, We Can! Our New Transatlantic Agenda in a



June 6, 2008
Heinrich Bonnenberg, Energiewerke Nord
DGAP, Platinum Contributor (217)