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January 31, 2008 |  6 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Research  

Think Tank Analysis: Obama and Clinton: Who Would be Best for Europe?

Christian Andreas Morris: References to transatlantic relations by the front-runners to the Democratic nomination are quite vague and generic. Clinton has shown more interest in Europe than Obama.

Clinton has visited Europe on several occasions in the last few years while Obama never convened a single policy meeting of the Senate European Subcommittee which he chairs, says Steve Clemons of the New America Foundation. Clinton is characterized as the most “Hawkish” candidate and Obama as the most influenced by the idea of American exceptionalism and thus the most likely to patronize America’s allies. Nonetheless, both candidates’ rhetoric evidences an overarching adherence to the principles of multilateralism, cooperation, and international legality.

In Europe, the election of a Democratic candidate is likely to be welcomed. However, that is not to say that the relationship will simply be upgraded by virtue of a hypothetical new American president’s Democratic affiliation; much work needs to be done indeed to achieve a better understanding between the partners.
Given the significance of the transatlantic partnership in world affairs, irregardless of how damaged and weak it may currently be, it is surprising how marginal a topic it has been rendered by the major Democratic candidates to the presidency of the United States. The intentions of the Democratic hopefuls vis-à-vis the reinvigoration of relations with European allies are usually implied or mentioned shortly in a rather procedural fashion without any talk of a concrete strategy to accomplish better cooperation.

Hillary Clinton New York Senator Hillary Clinton authored the article “Security and Opportunity for the Twenty-First Century,” contained in the Foreign Affairs issue for January\February 2008.

In the section “Strengthening Alliances,” Senator Clinton states the following:

It is important to engage our adversaries but even more important to reassure our allies. We must reestablish our traditional relationship of confidence and trust with Europe. Disagreements are inevitable, even among the closest friends, but we can never forget that on most global issues we have no more trusted allies than those in Europe. The new administration will have a chance to reach out across the Atlantic to a new generation of leaders in France, Germany, and the United Kingdom. When America and Europe work together, global objectives are within our means.

Further, in her campaign’s website, her foreign policy is described as follows:

First, we must renew our internationalism for a new century. Senator Clinton emphasized that we did not face World War II or the Cold War alone and we cannot face the global terrorist threat or other profound challenges alone. She noted that a terrorist cell may recruit in Southeast Asia, raise funds in the Middle East and plan attacks in the United States or Europe. […] Senator Clinton underscored that we cannot turn our back on international institutions. We have to modernize them and where needed create new ones.

In this spirit Senator Clinton conveys, not only will she “reach out across the Atlantic,” but she will also “work together” with European allies, implying thus an equal footing in the interactions between both sides. In the NPR Debates on December 4, 2007, Senator Clinton championed “a doctrine that demonstrates that the United States is not afraid to cooperate; that through cooperation in our inter-dependent world, we actually can build a stronger country and a stronger world that will be more reflective of our values.” She has, however, also aimed at being perceived as the toughest democratic candidate, which is epitomized by her positions on nearly every issue from Iraq to terrorism. Moreover, she is also convinced of America’s duty to lead the world, and she has incorporated this idea into her rhetoric by repeating constantly she is “ready to lead.” It is possible to restore American leadership, in her mind, “by once again valuing alliances, respecting our values, and understanding that American strength is more than just a show of force.” How exactly she will strike a balance between international cooperation and American hegemonic leadership remains to be seen!

Barack Obama In turn, Senator Barack Obama has also written an article for Foreign Affairs, and his statements as to the state of transatlantic cooperation and how to improve it, read as follows:

Too often we have sent the opposite signal to our international partners. In the case of Europe, we dismissed European reservations about the wisdom and necessity of the Iraq war […] I will rebuild our ties to our allies in Europe and Asia and strengthen our partnerships throughout the Americas and Africa.

As blogger Nanne Zwagerman at DJ Nozem has suggested, Senator Obama could be wrapped up in the idea of American exceptionalism and moral high ground, which has so often proved an obstacle for American leaders when engaging the rest of the world. Nevertheless, as he also points out, Obama’s prospective National Security Advisor, Ms. Samantha Power, is known for her proficiency on military intervention for humanitarian reasons, which may signal a continuation of US military engagement, but a departure from unilateralism.

Obama acknowledges the pivotal role of the European Union at least concerning one crucial issue. Namely, climate change and global warming:

Clean energy development must be a central focus in our relationships with major countries in Europe and Asia. […] We need a global response to climate change that includes binding and enforceable commitments to reducing emissions, especially for those that pollute the most: the United States, China, India, the European Union, and Russia.

He also says that he is committed to revamping NATO, and to ‘rally’ its members to restructure the organization. His track record vis-à-vis Europe is, however, troubling. As chairman of the Senate European Subcommittee he failed to convene a single policy meeting, which might indicate a lack of interest in the other side of the Atlantic altogether.

Steve Clemons of the New America Foundation compares Obama’s and Clinton’s work in the Senate:

I am convinced of something about Hillary Clinton’s commitment to use every lever and every aspect of government machinery to push her legislative and policy work that I’m disappointed to say that I can’t find as strongly in Barack Obama’s profile. My concern has to do with the fact that as Chairman of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations’ Subcommittee on Europe, Obama has held zero hearings — at least that is how the record appears to me.

Compare this to the House Foreign Relations Subcommittee on Europe, which is having constant hearings — or to the Senate Subcommittee’s work before Obama became Chair — or to a comparative commitment of Hillary Clinton on a Subcommittee she chairs, and the zero hearing detail is disconcerting. In what has become a head-to-head race between Obama and Clinton, both candidates present differences in character and disposition that may be advantageous or detrimental to reinvigorating the transatlantic dimension, but if they have one thing in common, that is their commitment to request of Europe and its leaders that they take on a more active role in procuring international security!

Members of the Atlantic Community, who do you support? Which of these Democratic candidates can do the most for America, for transatlantic relations, for the world? Tell us what you think by dropping a comment below!
Christian Andreas Morris is a member of the Atlantic Community’s editorial team, as well as a student of International Relations and German Studies at the University of California-Davis and the Free University of Berlin. The Atlantic Community has also reviewed the
Republican front-runners’ statements on Europe .

Related Materials on the Atlantic Community:

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Donald  Stadler

January 31, 2008

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"most likely to patronize America’s allies"

And who are America's true allies? Canada, the UK, Australia - those are the first tier. After a pause Nederlands, Poland, Hungary, Japan. After a longer pause France & South Korea. A lonnnnnngggg pause - then Germany, Belgium, Austria, Spain, Italy, Turkey, etc. I doubt Greece qualifies at all.

Germany used to be a good ally - but Gerd Schroeder changed that, and Merkel has clawed back maybe 5% of what he lost.
 
Michael John Williams

February 1, 2008

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I think Germany is a much more valued ally that you give credit. Sure things were terrible with Schroeder, but Germany is doing an awful lot in Afghanistan. Many people think Germany should do more (myself included) but we also recognize how far Germany has come and know that there are limits at to what can be accomplished in a certain period of time. Germany has made huge strides in terms of being involved. Contrast the first Gulf War involvement of Germany, against the Balkans, Kosovo and now Afghansitan. wow.

As for which candidate will be better for Europe - Obama hands down. Obama's team is younger and is more open minded. HRC's team is Clinton II - same old faces, same old ideas. I think the Clinton team just expects the world to fall in-line behind America come 2009, like the last eight years did not happen. As Bill put it recently 'we're back'. Personally, no thanks. Bill's foreign policy only looks good because of the disaster that Bush has been. Clinton failed to use the peace dividend of the 1990s to re-trench a new international order, he was in and out of a lot of countries with no sustained engagment or plan. He only went to Kosovo because of British pressure and lobbing a few missiles and Sudan and Afghanistan does not constitute an effective response to international terrorism.

Obama's team sees the world differently than HRC's team. They will be more truly mulitlateral. They will be more truly engaged. They are certainly the better team to guide USFP into the next decade.
 
Donald  Stadler

February 1, 2008

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I think Germany is far more valued than what I state, but I ask why that should be so? Because of the quality of their overwhelming angst at being asked to do anything at all outside Europe after 55 years of largely being defended by the likes of the US, Canada, and the UK?

When Germany was asked to step up after 55 years the answer was 'No!'. That was later modified to 'a little' but then things stood still until Merkel took office. She promised significant change and has delivered glacial change instead.

Germany has needed much from the US in the past. The needs are not so great today and so the Germans have contented themselves during the current crisis with burying their collective heads in the sand and hoping the crisis would go away. While soldiers from other NATO members have fought in their place. That is a fact.

At long last the Germans are sending a little help to Afghanistan. Some limited-mission recon planes and (so I hear) 250 'combat troops' going to North Afghanistan. Never to the South of course, because that would be 'evil' or something? Germans seem far more interested in delivering vast quantities of vast, overblown, and repetitive rhetoric about the stupidity and evil of the US monster while averting their eyes from the real genocide.

Perhaps there has been some movement behind the rhetoric, but forgive me if I consider it way too little action, far too late to salvage what remains of the relationship.

Which isn't much.....
 
Donald  Stadler

February 1, 2008

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A couple more thoughts here. Firstly, this piece is cast too narrowly; there are more than two candidates who may yet win the general election!

Why aren't John McCain and even Mitt Romney included in the discussion? I agree with Dr. Williams that Obama is better for Europe than Hillary. The Clintonian foreign policy agenda is tired, I think. John McCain may be better than either of them! Romney probably isn't going to make it, for good reasons in my view, but even he might have made a good president from the European POV despite the euro-bashing tone of some of his campaign.

Another point is that the world does not end with North America and Europe. To my mind the real question is which candidate would be best from a global POV. Under Bush the focus of US foreign policy has gone far more global than under any previous President. His policy has not been the unmitigated disaster which Dr Williams appears to believe as his administration has had success in building partnerships in Asia, Africa, and even South America (think Lula, not Hugo Chavez). US diplomacy has achieved useful ends in partnership with China, India, and Japan and with Brazil. These are not allies or dependents of the US - they are rising powers in their own right and need to be dealt with respectfully - as the Bush Administration has.

Against this must be balanced the problems with Europe and in the Middle East, but even in these areas the picture isn't quite as dark as Dr Williams would have us believe. But the long term judgement of Bush foreign policy may well be far more favorable than the conventional wisdom would accept today, if only because the importance of regions outside Europe has vastly increased both absolutely and proportionally.

Europeans may well prefer Hillary today., but Obama really outshines her from a global perspective. He has experience with Muslims which none of the others can match. I think he would begin with a great deal of good will and not merely in Africa but in Latin America and potentially Asia also. I think he will be very popular in Europe in time. He's young, very sharp, logical, and charismatic. He's as close to being a reincarnation of JFK as any major US politician since 1963 - and Europe fell in love with JFK, remember?
 
Lior  Petek

February 4, 2008

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I have to disagree with the arguments made that Obama's foreign policy would be better than the one of Clinton as his team is "younger and more open-minded" and "sees the world differently".

Let's take as an example Obama's plan of talking to Syria to illustrate how naive and potentially dangerous "seeing the world differently" can be, even more so as it was stated that Obama "has experience with Muslims which none of the others can match". It strikingly shows how superficial his knowledge is in the realm of foreign affairs as he makes the so-called "fundamental consensus error", thinking that eventually the Syrian regime has the same interests of economic prosperity as the US and the rest of the Western world have and that therefore talking the problems over will yield fruitful results. In fact, the primary objective of the Syrian regime is not economic prosperity, but staying in power. Thus, the Syrian minority regime has diverted the attention of the subjugated majority to the "Zionist Occupiers" and the "US Imperialists", telling its population that they have to endure their hardships as a necessary mean to be able to fend off external aggressions. That is why Syria destabilizes Iraq and Lebanon trying to engage Israel and the US to make its scapegoating effective. Therefore, Obama is wrong when he thinks that starting to talk to Syria can be a successful strategy. The regime will simply fall if it stops destabilizing the region and brainwashing its people.

So I think that to be able to evaluate the respective foreign polices of Obama and Clinton one needs to move to a less abstract level than using terms such as "young", "differently", "change" and so on.
 
Donald  Stadler

February 6, 2008

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I fail to see how the idea of 'talking to Syria' endangers much of anything. Being taken in by Syria might be a bad thing, but talking to them? Consider what the message might be. Something like 'You leave Lebanon alone and we'll leave Syria alone'. Would that be such a bad thing? It's pretty much the deal Kennedy struck with the USSR/Cuba after the Missle Crisis, and that has not been a complete disaster, has it?
 

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