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December 3, 2008 |  1 comment |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

Nanne Zwagerman

Obama the Atlanticist?

Nanne Zwagerman: Transatlantic themes were not central to President-elect Obama’s campaign. With the shape of the team unfolding, his Presidency now looks likely to signal a renaissance of the transatlantic alliance. This may well be a shrewd strategy for foreign relations as well as his domestic agenda.

Before the details of Barack Obama's foreign policy team started to emerge, I had expected that his administration would take a global approach to foreign policy and security challenges, and would not necessarily engage Europe first. This perception was fleshed out in the Atlantic Review post 'Obama the Catalyst' by Don, and my post on the Berlin speech, 'Obama keeps it Global'.

The foreign policy people Obama is surrounding himself with speak more for an accelerated renaissance of the transatlantic alliance than anything else.

Hillary Clinton, the next Secretary of State, was more interested in Europe than Obama during the primaries for the Democratic nomination, as Christian Andreas Morris wrote at the time on the Atlantic Community. Moreover, her husband's administration had most of its high profile foreign policy engagements in Europe. Insofar as Hillary Clinton received foreign policy experience through 'osmosis', Europe looms large in her frame of reference.

Matthew Yglesias has noted that the main thing about retired general James L. Jones, Obama's National Security Advisor, is that no one really knows what his views are. It is not too hard to find out some of those views, however, as Jones delivered a number of speeches when he was SACEUR from 2003 to 2006, which can be found on the SHAPE website. A few more pieces can be found on the website of the Atlantic Council of the Unites States, of which Jones is currently the chairman.

You just don't get more atlanticist than Jim Jones. He grew up in France, speaks the language, and spent his years as SACEUR in Brussels on a mission to transform NATO. In his farewell address as SACEUR he said:

I love this Alliance. I love what it stands for. I love for the inherent goodness of its people. I love the inherent example that the members of the Alliance set for the world over. And I think it's a wonderful, vibrant organisation that is alive. Alive and prosperous and going to make tremendous contributions, the likes of which perhaps none of us can even imagine in this 21st Century.

Now, Obama has held a presser in which he effectively stated "change comes from me". And I've read a lot of bloggers who have written that this or that appointment does not matter that much because these people are going to be carrying out policy, not so much shaping it. On foreign policy, there are good reasons to think these appointments do signify something about policy.

First, Obama has a huge domestic agenda which he will have to spend a lot of time on if he wants to be successful. In spite of the awesomeness of Obama who can carry out telephone diplomacy with Kenya while he's on the campaign trail, he is still human and doesn't have more hours in his week than any of us. He's not going to be able to micromanage his foreign policy.

Second, it can matter a great deal whether the first thought on the mind of the people he talks to is 'who do we involve in this?' or 'how do we involve Europe in this?'

Third, Jim Jones was notable within NATO for driving its transformation from a reactive alliance focused on defence towards a more pro-active force focused on providing security. He made plentiful use of Obama's stock phrase, change, before it was hip:

Transformation is a topic that has been around for a number of years. Transformation to me means change, but I've found that change is something that people generally like to do to somebody else, but not to look at themselves. The larger the organization, the harder it is to change.

But nonetheless, change is important. To put it in a business context, I would say that organizations must change in order to remain competitive; similarly, in order to face the new challenges of the 21 st century, NATO must also change. Happily, the Alliance has the capacity, interest and commitment to do just that. But change is not easy.

The rest of that speech does deliver specifics and is well worth reading, by the way. It seems plausible that the Jones pick signals that Obama is not just vaguely looking to patch up NATO, but is serious about completing its as of yet imperfect transformation.

Bob Gates, the returning Secretary of Defence, does not really complement this picture. We'll see Gates and some European countries in a familiar adversarial role during the next NATO summit, as he'll be pushing the Bush line on Georgian and Ukrainian membership. The question is to what extent he is going to run foreign policy.

Nanne Zwagerman is a graduate student at the Free University in Berlin. This article was first published on the Atlantic Review website.

 

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Rob  Steer

December 3, 2008

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Whilst transatlantic themes were not central to Obama's campaign they were certainly a key part in assuring voters that he had the global clout to go and represent America on an international stage.

The scene in Berlin of Obama's speech in front of crowd of tens of thousands was one of the most iconic images of the last year. At that time it has to be remembered that (admittedly pre-Palin) John McCain was a credible opponent and much of this was because of his international recognition and experience in foreign affairs.

This was always going to be Obama's achilles heel and the sight of him crossing the globe, speaking to presidents and prime minsters, drawing crowds of thousands, reassured the electorate that he was an international statesman, as well as a force for domestic change.

He has continued this strategy of assurance in making his key appointments and bringing Hillary Clinton is a smart play. Firstly, having you nearest rival on the outside makes them available to all the 24 hour news channels if and when you find yourself with egg on your face, and when you nearest rival also happens to have the name, clout, experience and reputation of Hillary Clinton you have to find a place for them somehow.

Secondly, and perhaps most importantly, it shows Obama's biggest strength in identifying his own weaknesses and bringing in the appropriate personnel to strengthen and compliment his presidency.

With any luck, this will also strengthen America's bi-lateral relations with Europe in years to come.
 

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