Issues Navigator

Global Challenges

Strategic Regions

Domestic Debates

Tag cloud

See All Tags

November 23, 2010 |  6 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff

Stop Lecturing and Do Your Homework, America!

Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff: America’s argument about the Chinese currency manipulation may be valid but it is also a distraction. It is America’s own lack of competitiveness that is hurting the US more than anything. America will be able to revive the credibility of its global economic leadership only when it stops blaming its democratic peers and instead starts doing its homework.

Barack Obama finally succeeded in uniting the world – just not the way he intended. At the G-20 summit in Seoul, countries almost universally rejected America’s ideas for correcting current-account imbalances as well as its second round of quantitative easing (QE2). After an electoral shellacking at home, the U.S. president suffered a diplomatic shellacking abroad. It was one of the darker hours of American economic diplomacy.

For years, the United States has criticized China for its unwillingness to allow the renminbi to appreciate. The undervalued Chinese currency is a key driver of America’s large and growing trade deficit with China. It is therefore justified to call the Chinese behavior “currency manipulation.” And it is not even the only tool with which the country’s authoritarian government artificially improves the competiveness of its economy at the expense of others in the global marketplace.

Rather than developing a common front against the Chinese manipulators, the United States chose to expand the argument and turn on all surplus countries – thereby assuming that all surpluses are created equal. Germany is the poster child of America’s drive against nefarious surpluses. But that country’s sizable trade surplus does not stem from tinkering with its currency. The euro is floating freely. The surplus is not based on wages that the government artificially depresses. Workers enjoy some of the highest wages and best benefits in the world. Germany is not holding back in domestic demand for goods and services. While this year’s growth spurt has initially been attributed to the country’s export prowess, domestic demand is currently responsible for well over half of economic growth. Claims that Germany engages in beggar-thy-neighbor policies vis-à-vis its European partners are equally spurious. Germany’s economic revival is restarting growth across Central Europe thanks to closely integrated supply chains that link Eastern European firms to German companies.

The simple truth is that Germany has built the most competitive economy in the eurozone. The country’s success as an exporter is based on the values of democratic capitalism. That’s a far cry from China’s authoritarian capitalism. The Obama administration (and legions of analysts across America) keep lumping both countries together – a case of doubtful analysis that triggers bad politics.

In Seoul, even the other countries of the G-20 were not very receptive to the Obama administration’s onslaught. America’s argument for rebalancing has always rested on shaky ground. The Carnegie Endowment’s Uri Dadush and Vera Edelman have beautifully described the contradictions: “Here was the country responsible for the greatest consumption and construction binge in history declaring things must change; that other countries should mend their ways, relying less on lending to the United States and more on their own spending; that U.S. exports would double in five years, and that the rest of the world’s currencies must appreciate to help out.”

In order to support its case, the United States intends to print money to the tune of $600 billion. This glut of greenbacks will create a new asset bubble and has already inspired or legitimized new capital controls in emerging economies like Indonesia and Brazil. And it will leave the euro as the only major currency that is not currently manipulated downward.

America’s actions undercut its president’s pleas to the world. Lectures about macroeconomic virtue sound dangerously hollow. They are reminiscent of American presentations about the importance of human rights in the age of Guantanamo and Abu Ghraib. The immediate effect in Seoul was the spontaneous emergence of a G-19, with the odd bedfellow of a Sino-German alliance at its core. The tone reached a fever pitch when German finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble called U.S. policy “clueless.”

While America’s argument about the Chinese currency may be valid, it is also a distraction. America does not only have a bilateral trade deficit with China, it has a multilateral trade deficit with most of its important partners. Not only is Chinese currency manipulation hurting America; it is America’s own lack of competitiveness that is hurting America. There are just not enough goods and services to export that the world wants. Which is why the argument about rebalancing is, at best, one-sided. It assumes that balanced trade is desirable and surpluses are just as bad as deficits when, in fact, deficits are worse. They point to weaknesses in the domestic economy. These weaknesses need to be corrected. That is the task at hand, and the Obama administration has, so far, not given an indication that it is up to the task. It should make goods, not dollar bills. It should cut its deficit, not the value of the dollar. Last week, the co-chairmen of the president’s deficit commission came up with a set of recommendations for painful cuts. That’s a start. In the spirit of the commission, the United States should stop pointing fingers at its democratic peers and instead start doing its homework. Then and only then will America be able to rebuild the credibility of its global economic leadership.

Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff is Senior Director for Policy Programs at the German Marshall Fund. This article was first published in the GMF Blog and his republished here with permission from the author.

Read related articles from atlantic-community.org members:

  • 5
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this Article! What's this?

 
 
Comments
Unregistered User

November 23, 2010

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Germany does keep the Euro at lower levels by living off the backs of the poorer countries in the EU like Greece, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, etc.
 
Unregistered User

November 23, 2010

  • 3
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Mr Brockhoff

After reading the first paragraph I was enraged; it seemed to imply that China was America's "democratic peer." However, after reading the rest of your piece I now understand that you meant Germany. I agree with you, America should stand with her democratic peers! But should not this alliance be reciprocal? I am disappointed that Germany has allied with the Chinese. The western world needs a united stance against Chinese currency manipulation, to borrow slightly from Obama, no country should rely on exports to the west for growth. But you are right Mr Brockhoff, American policy to blame Germany for running a strong economy is misguided and shameful.

Every good wish,

And cheers from Canada
 
Alexander Josef Pilic

November 24, 2010

  • 2
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Germany's government should definetly do more to improve the country's domestic demand, for example by lowering taxes. This would decrease the dependence on foreign markets dramatically.

However Mr. Brockhoff is right to point out that Germany's economic success is not built on the kind of manipulations the Chinese government is exercising.

I agree with Ralph strongly that Germany's government should speak out against the Chinese manipulations as openly as they opposed Obama's intent to blame the weakness of the American economy on the rest of the world.
Tags: | USA | Germany | China | currency manipulator |
 
Unregistered User

November 24, 2010

  • 2
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
I can not believe that people actually think that Germany is not guilty of currency manipulation. If it wasn't for Germany taking advantage of the Euro weakness, that is only caused by the poorer countries in the EU, they would not be able to export so many goods.
 
Unregistered User

November 24, 2010

  • 2
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Your article is one of adolscnet invective and has the air of so much that I've seen coning out of Europeans' mouthes, that I wonder it they're capable of much else.

EUROPE is lecturing Germans more than Americans ever have, and indeed the notion that any sort of criticism of Europeans who gad about as though they are the "Gods of Olympus" don't quite grasp that.

Germany's "wonder" GDP was based entirely on last years' dip in the Euro, and nothing more of any magnatude. Gross stupidity in public debt was the currency manipulation tool that was used - which is by far more morally repugnant as anyone firing up their printing presses if you continue to use that form of communication.
That the Euro is the only non-deflated currency is a matter for Europe to discuss with Europe - not the US as an analog for the rest of the world.

Europeans reserve this sort of thing for the US for an obvious reason: they can actually find examples of the sort of rhetoric that they want to hear from a broad American debate environment that actually lets you find the commentary you're looking for, rather than a small coterie of "experts" writing and speaking to an even smaller coterie of magazines, journals, and broadcasting outlets.
The hint at this motive? Throwing in Gitmo and Abu Greib for the usual masturbatory reasons that Europeans do. Your motives aren't really economic per se, or specific to the subject at hand. I suggest right after you wake up and smell the semtex, that you ask yourself why the Euro is singling itself out - not why the US is wrong for following the trend that the rest of humanity is - or whose table they think they will pund their fists on to do something about it.

Moreover this fixation that Europeans have with summitry, as if they were binding, meaningful, fruitful, or necessary, undergirds two things: their irrelevance, and their need to try to project a higher profile for themselves that is meritted. I mean, why not try to make yourseles look even beter, and push for G-120! You can also take your notions of delocalized "economic governance" and deposit them in your fundament. Only a fool would concentrate that sort of authority, if for no other reason to more broadly disperse the risk of that little echo-chamber talking us all right off the cliff.

Besides, that "brilliant role" they play is limited in scope. Germans have no leverage nor are they asked to smoothen the tides of the global economy. Their portfolio is, even now as we can see, Germany. To it, asia is a distant absraction and otherwise little more than a punter. Compared to the US their portfolio is as basic as running a lemonade stand - so spare your lectures (about who's lecturing whom) for the people who actually lecture the Germany econo-rati: all three of you.
 
Unregistered User

November 27, 2010

  • 1
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Joe,

I do agree with you in a broad manner, especially that the G-20 and its summits are pointless photo-ops. I think you and I probably share many of the same views; however, I guess I need to read up on the German economy as I didn't think they were involved in currency manipulation. You are also right about Europeans and their old world superiority complex, I find their anti-Americanism quite childish and illogical considering how the US basically rebuilt western Europe in the 20th century. These rich Germans, who as you say "gad about as the 'Gods of Olympus,"' need to remember what life was like in east Germany without the Americans.

This type of anti-Americanism is evident in my country of Canada as well, but not to the same extent. I hope fervently that our homes may remain on the best of terms for the benefit of both of them.

Every good wish,

Ralph
 

Create Comment

Type the characters shown in the image below into the textfield.
Captcha

What are tags?

Community

Jobs / Internships

Call for Papers

Atlantic Events

Partners

User of the day

Anna  Przybyll
Anna Przybyll
"A wise old owl lived in an oak The more he..."

Poll

Should NATO intervene in Syria?