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January 7, 2010 |  20 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

Terrorists Are Winning the Media War

Abbas Daiyar: The Taliban and al-Qaeda are achieving their goal of asserting a false sense of their strength, and are increasingly finding wider-outlets to disseminate their message. Furthermore, the US intelligence apparatus is failing to handle the situation. A strong local media campaign to counter that of the terrorists is urgently needed.

The attack on the CIA Station in the Khost Province of Afghanistan last week, in which seven agents were killed, is the worst in the agency’s history since the Beirut Attacks. American intelligence officials have confirmed that the suicide bomber was a double agent. The 36-year old Jordanian doctor, Humam Balawi was recruited as an informant who claimed to provide information about top Al-Qaeda leadership. Soon after the incident, the Taliban claimed responsibility for the attack. In a media statement, they claimed the bomber was a “loyal” officer of the Afghan Army.

The bloody attack, besides proving the presence of Al-Qaeda operatives in Afghanistan, also shows how militants use strategic communication as part of their psychological war-tactic. Identifying the bomber as an Afghan Army soldier was a strategic move. Before it was confirmed the bomber was a Jordanian, media outlets quickly leaped to the conclusion that henceforth the Afghan Army and foreign troops would become more hesitant to cooperate, particularly in the field of intelligence sharing. This was exactly what the Taliban was hoping for: by indentifying the bomber as an Afghan soldier the terrorists wanted to create an atmosphere of doubt between the Afghan Forces and the foreign troops. The Taliban’s false claim was also aimed at terrifying the locals by showing how strong they are.

Terrorists have been effectively using the media as part of their strategic communication. In addition, Al-Qaeda and the Taliban have also been using other means of communication to propagate their message among their target-audience, categorized as Muslims and the western world. Following the 9/11 attacks and wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, terrorist groups have increasingly used online publication, with video footage of attacks now being common place. Top Al-Qaeda leaders have been emphasizing that the media war is no less important than the military war against the “infidels.” In a letter to former Iraqi Al-Qaeda leader Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi, Ayman Al-Zawahiri, second in command after Bin Ladin, wrote: "We are in a battle and more than half of this battle is taking place in the battlefield of the media...we are in a media battle in a race for the hearts and minds of our people."

A couple of months ago, the Taliban released their first video message in Urdu, with English subtitles, which indicates they are now trying to reach an even wider audience. The same is happening in Afghanistan where militants release their statements in different national languages. They also often present their messages in the pretext of Qura’ani verses and jurisprudence, to capture the hearts and minds of the illiterate mass population by portraying their terrorist activities as legitimate.

Initially, Al-Jazeera was the only channel that aired militant messages and footages of terrorist attacks; but the competitive nature of the media spectrum, both print and electronic, has made it easy for terrorists to find outlets for their messages. Media organizations are now even competing to get hold of such videos or messages that are guaranteed to attract a large viewership. But terrorists are also perfectly able to release their videos and online magazines themselves, and often possess knowledge of the latest technologies.

Sometimes terrorists intentionally claim responsibility for an attack they have not carried out. A couple of months ago, Baitullah Mehsood — the Pakistani Taliban leader who was killed in a US drone attack — claimed his men were behind the attack in an immigration center in New York. Security officials rejected the claim saying a Vietnamese man had carried out the attack. Such fake claims aim to, and are often successful at terrorizing the local people.

Today Al-Qaeda and Taliban leadership are almost continuously on the run. The Al-Qaeda leadership is now devoting more of its time to escape attacks, than to releasing new video message on the internet or Al-Jazeera. In fact, the so called success of the insurgency in Afghanistan is often exaggerated largely due to the militants’ flourishing media war.

To counter the strategic communication of militants, a mass media campaign among a common audience in Afghanistan and Pakistan is needed. In order to win hearts and minds, awareness has to be created about the atrocities the Taliban is committing, including the countless civilians that have died in their suicide-attacks.

The attack on the CIA station shows the lack of intelligence proficiency of the US and NATO in Afghanistan and the success of terrorists’ psychological warfare. How could a former Al-Qaeda agent, who was even jailed in Jordan, go without screening before becoming an informant for the CIA? In a recent report, Major General Michael Flynn, Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence in Afghanistan for the US forces, said “The US intelligence community [in Afghanistan] is ignorant of local economics and landowners, hazy about who the powerbrokers are and how they might be influenced, incurious about the correlations between various development projects and levels of cooperation among villagers, and disengaged from people in the best position to find answers."

The lack of active intelligence gathering on the ground has been one of the major reasons behind the failure to capture Al-Qaeda kingpins who are still roaming around the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan. How could the CIA and MI6, with their extensive involvement in Afghanistan during the “Jihad Era” against the Soviet Union, be so inefficient in Afghanistan in the post-9/11 era?

Abbas Daiyar is a Kabul-based journalist writing for Daily Outlook Afghanistan, where he is an editorial board member.

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Tags: | CIA | al-Qaeda | taliban | media war |
 
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Marie-Claude  Corneauster

January 7, 2010

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I see too many "blind" persons that comment here, they don't realise that that isn't a joke, until when they'll get the experience of a London and or Madrid attack.

though concerning the matter of this topic


"Flynn’s report — which was prepared for public release by the Center for a New American Security – begins with a stunning admission. “Eight years into the war in Afghanistan, the U.S. intelligence community is only marginally relevant to the overall strategy,” the report states. “Having focused the overwhelming majority of its collection efforts and analytical brainpower on insurgent groups, the vast intelligence apparatus is unable to answer fundamental questions about the environment in which U.S. and allied forces operate and the people they seek to persuade"


http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2010/01/spies-like-us-top-intel-off...
 
Florian  Broschk

January 9, 2010

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I completely agree that we lack behind in mass communication and in the field of intelligence.

However, I think that our efforts to improve are constantly hampered by a mindset that also surfaces in the article: a successful attack shows a "lack of proficiency" and screening of a not-so-former al-Qaida activist has to be more tight than the operators on the ground decided.

That is in my view exactly the kind of risk-aversion that we (the foreign forces engaged in Afghanistan) must try to overcome.

Of cause we already have a mass-media campaign (it can always be expanded, more efforts can be taken, more money can be spent - but that's not the point) - we have our ISAF-radios and we distribute sada-ye azadi newspapers to everyone whom we can reach. The problem remains - even those who read sada-ye azadi (and use it not only to wrap bread and vegetables) or listen to western media are not necessarily convinced of the good intentions of the foreign forces. Unfortunately, we sometimes think they do ("patrol XYZ distributed newspapers and leaflets in that village last week, so they now like us"). Having distributed our newspapers, we tend to speed away. Radio and television also is sent from a safe distance. That's fine for us - but we are not present in the chaykhanas, in the mosques, in the bazars or in the minibusses when people discuss the "real" news.

Doing our utmost to be present (even with some risks to our ourselves) I think we would fare better - but history suggests, that foreigners trying to portray their presence as completely benign will always experience serious problems. The same goes for their efforts to delve into and understand their environment.
 
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January 10, 2010

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http://www.atlantic-community.org/index/articles/view/Is_Obama_too_...

Observing Islamist neo-fascism for years now, it witnesses two core essences, such Anti-Colonialism that is cemented by a will to revenge for the atrocities of the “white man” such Britain and France and the resulting feeling of notorious weakness and inferiority towards the western “fortress” for the first and foremost as Samuel Huntington pointed it out, and the use of contemporary theories of supremacy such the Jewish-Freemasonry Complex and alleged meddling of the CIA among other institutions.

In a first step the Western civil society, a system that is completely inaccessible and understandable by most people from nations like Yemen has to be presented and explained in order to make them understand how we [the West] work and “who is who?”.
For example Al-Q assesses all Jews as Zionists thus perpetrating a rude anti-Semitism among low educated Muslims under the light of the occupation of Palestinian lands. The work of J-Street in the US and other respective pro-peace groups can be of value here. A volunteering Freemason at Al-Jazeera or Al-Arabyia explaining who they are and summarizing striking historic Freemason personalities of respect would be wishful.

In a second step our Western morale must not be questioned any more, means the Middle East Conflict has to be solved to enable the people to live in “freedom”, Turkey has to be paid the respect it deserves and Muslims have to gain a representation among world leaders such G-? that provides them the feeling of “equality” and most pressing the Middle East youth bulk has to be provided a chance through education and hard work in order to give the “hope” they need to encounter radical Islamic currents.
 
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January 10, 2010

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http://www.atlantic-community.org/index/articles/view/Is_Obama_too_Soft_on_Terror%3F

It is obvious that the Al-Q Propaganda Machinery has the cognitive sophistication of a 6 years old toddler who dropped a lollipop into the dust and tells daddy the evil migrant has stolen it in order to get a new one.

It cannot be too difficult to encounter that propaganda as we defeated Communists, Nazis, Apartheid and Dictators alike by the use of freedom, equality and hope
 
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January 10, 2010

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regarding Mr. Kouchner:

http://www.atlantic-community.org/index/about/us

We believe that the challenges of the twenty-first century can only be overcome if Europe and North America work together. We endeavor to contribute to the development of a strategic community that encompasses all relevant social spheres: politics, business, academia, culture, and the media.
 
Tobias  Fella

January 10, 2010

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Mr. Broschk,

I agree that we lack behind in mass communication. We have to improve our efforts on public diplomacy. Many in the Muslim world believe that the war on terror is a war on Islam. As long as the majority of Afghan people are sharing this view, it is difficult to achieve our goals in Afghanistan.

So more efforts have to me made in the realm of puplic diplomacy and "strategic communications" to not only prepare the Afghan people but als a skeptical domestic audience, that there is a real chance to stabilize the country and to get out in time. Because sometimes counterinsurgency campaigns are lost at home.

A shift is required to enhance and to improve our efforts at public dipomacy and strategic communications. The trust of Afghan people in the ISAF must be restored. The West must sway a parts of the Afghan population from hostility to support the ISAF mission in Afghanistan and to shut down pipelines for terrorist recruitment. As the Marine Corps Manual put it: “wars are battles of ideas and battles for the perceptions and attitudes of target populations”. This is crucial for the success in Afghanistan and therefore must be a top priority for NATO and ISAF.

Of course, better communication cannot stubstitute for better policy, but they can help the West to reconnect with moderates and reform-oriented Afghan people, who share an interest in transforming the country and fighting militants.



 
Abbas  Daiyar

January 11, 2010

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Dear Broschk and Tobias,
As a voice from Afghanistan, i agree that public diplomacy is important for the US and NATO. Its true that there is a general perception among the illiterate population in Afghanistan and Pakistan that the war on terror is a war on Islam by West--NATO. People believe so mainly because of terrorists' media propaganda. At the same time, most of the people in Afghanistan also believe Taliban must be defeated otherwise the country would go to civil war with their rise.
As Mr. Broschk mentioned, the sada-ye azadi newspaper is only used to wrap breads, because almost all people in insurgency-hit areas can not read or write. The ISAF-radios are working good, but the efforts can be more effective, if it come through local media.

As Mr. Brosck mentioned, more important is mosques and public places. But of course foreign forces can not directly or easily campaign there. They must use Afghans for communication. Some local televisions and newspapers in Afghanistan run public messages on their own, telling Taliban atrocities or asking people to think! what the militants are doing to their future.
NATO and ISAF should campaign through local people. Religious scholars can play vital in this regard.
 
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January 11, 2010

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Dear Abbas,

I read pieces that reported about former elected provincial governors who turned themselves into Tali-ban as they faced a role in a not existing opposition towards a new elite.

At least a new strategy among COIN implements a program for "elites in opposition".

So does support for the Taliban in your opinion stem from shire economic calculations or is it more a religious/ideological issue especially among tribal leaders?

I ask because if propaganda is that strong as you say, sophisticated approaches as mentioned at COIN would appear to be wasted resources.

Another question is between your lines as the Army-Bomber story implies that the informations/propaganda of terrorists reach the population faster than the true version of the Coalition Forces and the government, doesn`t it?

If yes Mr. Broschk was right to see a lack of contact between security establishment and the people on the ground. Flynn's report taken into consideration reveals that there is only marginal contact between large parts of the population and ISAF loyalists (two worlds)?

If so the preacher-approach you mentioned could be a solution, but as we Germans say `from where to take it, if not to steal it`, more precisely, with large parts of the Muslim community of the opinion that there is a general hostility by "the West" towards Islam it could be difficult to find personnel.

We all remember that "Taliban" means "student" and they were once recruited in refugee camps on Pakistani soil in order to fight the Soviets on also religious/ideological levels.

Or lets call it... to fight fire with fire.

 
Greg Randolph Lawson

January 11, 2010

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There is no fundamental solution to the problem of terrorism, there is only better management.

While, as I have argued in other postings, I support a robust military as well as intelligence component to keeping mass casualty terrorist attacks as distinctly rare events, I have grown quite skeptical that we have the ability to enhance our communication enough to "win" a media war, irrespective of resources placed towards such a goal.

The sheer complexity of interplay between various factors that drive individuals to align with al-Qaeda, the Taliban or other radical groups is not something that can be rationalized away no matter how we approach our efforts at communication. The nihilism, profound disillusionment, and anger that appear to be the foundations of the fever swamps through which successful terrorist recruitment is made will not be drained except through a multi-generation effort at the local level in so many nations and communities. However, as even America sees with Columbine and the Virgnia Tech shooter, even a liberal, arguably well adjusted society will still allow danger to gestate within its walls. These prospects will be omnipresent even if rare.

Our goal must remain keeping terrorist groups off balance and insecure, unable to effectivley plan "spectaculars" akin to 9/11. This can be done through the less than noble, but yet effective methods of bribery, targeted attacks and a willingness to jettison some of the political correctness that infects commonsense domestic security protocols.

I do agree paritally with Samir that we should improve our ability to "fight fire with fire" and should leverage counterintelligence operations that offer alternative ideological frameworks. While it won't solve the issue, it could lessen recruitment over time. This raises some questions about the relatively recent rise of the Shia and how to manage that with the larger Sunni world. This is an arena America does not yet seem willing to exploit but may well be the prime ground for the future of the entire Middle East.
Tags: | terrorism |
 
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January 11, 2010

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The problem in a connected world is a) insurgency and b) solidarity.

The insurgency problem is common knowledge as powers could make use of such conflicts to keep us "busy". I am still very much confused about Al Zawahiris FSB connection and the fact that Iran could have paid at least a closer look towards northern Yemen. And I think G. W. Bush knew why he called them "insurgents" in Iraq.

Solidarity then appears to be a follow up effect, e.g Muslims are more likely to be in solidarity with Muslims, that would invite respective insurgents to spray. Al- Zawahiri started in Egypt fighting the US and traveled over Chechnya to Malaysia to Sudan (respective Al-Q hot spots). In his mind the memory on torture in Egypt.

The geo-economic context could be that such spraying insurgency connected with "spectaculars" could make whole ethnic/religious regions inaccessible for our products and ideas.

My point is, that it appears to be quite difficult to contain terrorist movements with religious/ideological background under the light of globalisation as long as they hide behind civilians and find a least one ditch carrot of intuitive legitimation. Especially if they have access to a "resistance and freedom" mindset as I mentioned earlier.

It appears to be pragmatic to leave security protocols behind abroad but as a liberal society we face the problem of domestic opinion. As in Germany the left-wing SPD now wants to consolidate the left spectrum including a communist party by a pacifist approach it appears to be bitter to see former KGB ans Stasi Agents among this left spectrum in elite positions.
Its widely known that there is the "International Socialist Network"... that frequently turns public opinion in Europe against countries that do "the dirty work"... A common sentence you would read when this starts is: "Ones terrorist is the others freedom fighter".

Imagine the day when the Shanghai Council announces, after the whole Muslim world turned "violet", to search for a "democratic" decision at the UN that legal protection on knowledge and technologies are only valid for 12 than before 24 years for example, one day. Chinese products are on the prowl in the Middle East when I have a look out of the window...

I don't want to write a new theory of supremacy here, but Greg please, let us try to have at least 40-50% of world population behind us (US) and the West accounts for 1.x < 5bn out of 6 to 9bn over the next 20 years. And especially we as Europeans have a land bridge to everywhere... not like the US with two oceans. As I stated, those organizations succeed by surviving, means "the whip" makes them only stronger.

Thats why I think Abbas is right to try fight "fire with fire" on a political/social level. I still think to offer the "media"-battlefield more information about ourself would most likely make the terrorist propaganda appear as "from a different planet".

The recent economic crises roots from the fact that a money-balloon burst as there was not enough real-economy to cement it. Hedging conflicts like against radical Islamic currents only makes this problem/risk more severe as there are not enough stable regions left to receive investments.

Keeping enemies on the run appears to me only physical offensive but on levels of global policy merely defensive.

 
Marie-Claude  Corneauster

January 11, 2010

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Russian Advice on Afghanistan


The length of the NATO operation in Afghanistan will soon become comparable to that of the Soviet involvement there. But the military actions we conducted 20 years ago differed fundamentally from those of today.

We were fighting against the fathers of today’s Taliban militants face-to-face, whereas Western armies prefer to fight from the air. This allows them to save soldiers’ lives, but does not secure them from tragic mistakes that kill and wound civilians.

It is not only the nature of war and its means that have changed; the whole world has evolved. So it is wrong to compare these two operations in terms of death tolls or material and moral damage. A more challenging issue is to understand the political ramifications for NATO, Western security and the future of Central Asia. It is imperative for all three that NATO keep to its commitment in Afghanistan.

Recently there have been numerous appeals in Europe to curtail the presence of NATO’s International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan as soon as possible. The arguments underpinning such appeals are essentially both pacifist and irresponsible.

The national selfishness of peace-loving Europeans is understandable. There is a persistent flow of bad news from Afghanistan — military losses, scandalous incidents involving NATO soldiers, terrorist activity and the suffering of civilians.

No one likes bad news, especially if it comes from the provinces where one’s country’s soldiers are deployed. The Afghan problem causes growing irritation, fatigue and misunderstanding on the part of the public. Moreover, the state of their troops in the Afghan swamp mars NATO’s image as “the most successful alliance in the world.”

The logical question arises: “Why on earth should we be taking part in all of this?” While the main NATO power — the United States — sees the mission in Afghanistan as essential, the alliance includes 27 other member states, some of which have joined for reasons that have little to do with displaying heroism in far-away wars.

That is precisely why the ISAF operation in Afghanistan is the moment of truth for NATO. If the alliance does not accomplish its task, the mutual commitments of its 28 member-states would be undermined and the alliance would lose its moral foundation and raison d’être.

We know all too well what happens to unions that become meaningless. The war in Afghanistan was one of the major factors in the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Officials in Brussels and Washington who are thinking of a rapid exit strategy for the ISAF mission are engaged in elaborating on a suicide plan. Withdrawal without victory might cause a political collapse of Western security structures.

This troubles Russia far less than the consequences for the region itself. The Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan in 1989 was not a shameful escape accompanied by the hooting of the mujahadeen. The Soviet Army entered the country, accomplished its tasks — unlike the Americans in Vietnam — and returned to its motherland.

In fact, we were the first to defend Western civilization against the attacks of Muslim fanatics. No one thanked us. On the contrary, everyone was impeding our actions: The United States, NATO, Iran, Pakistan, even China. After the withdrawal of the Soviet Army, the Najibullah government that we left behind in Kabul remained in power for another three years.

It is true that Soviet troops committed serious errors in Afghanistan. We had no teachers.

How long would the Afghan government endure today if it were left alone to face the Taliban? A rapid slide into chaos awaits Afghanistan and its neighbors if NATO pulls out, pretending to have achieved its goals. A pullout would give a tremendous boost to Islamic militants, destabilize the Central Asian republics and set off flows of refugees, including many thousands to Europe and Russia.

It would also give a huge boost to the illegal drug trade. Opium production in Afghanistan in 2008 came to 7,700 tons, more than 40 times that of 2001, when international forces arrived. If even the ISAF presence could not prevent the explosive growth of Taliban drug dealing, than it is not difficult to understand what a NATO pull-out would lead to. As people in the West count the coffins of NATO soldiers from Afghanistan, let them not forget to include the coffins of Americans and Europeans who were killed by Taliban heroin in their own countries.

A “successful end” to the operation in Afghanistan will not come simply with the death of Osama bin Laden. The minimum that we require from NATO is consolidating a stable political regime in the country and preventing Talibanization of the entire region.

That is the Russian position. We are ready to help NATO implement its U.N. Security Council mandate in Afghanistan. We are utterly dissatisfied with the mood of capitulation at NATO headquarters, be it under the cover of “humanistic pacifism” or pragmatism.

We insist that NATO troops stay in the country until the necessary conditions are provided to establish stable local authorities capable of independently deterring radical forces and controlling the country. That is why we are helping NATO by providing transit for goods and training personnel for Afghanistan, including anti-narcotics officers.

Nevertheless, our cooperation with NATO is substantially limited since we are not sending our own troops to Afghanistan. We’ve been there before and we did not like it. That said, we are training CSTO Rapid Reaction Forces — an operational formation of elite units from Russia and our allies in Central Asia — in case of a NATO fiasco.

Meanwhile, NATO should get down to studying our war in Afghanistan, in which the Soviet Union managed to deter the onslaught of Islamic fundamentalists for a full 10 years.

(Boris Gromov, governor of the Moscow region, commanded the 40th Soviet Army in Afghanistan. Dmitry Rogozin is Russia’s ambassador to NATO).


 
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January 12, 2010

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This entry is dedicated to Dimitry Rogozin,

The skilled diplomat Dmitry Rogozin circumventively undermines critics on his thesis, that the Soviet forces went into Afghanistan an did their "job" , means to stabilize the Communist government of Nur Muhammad Taraki in 1978, that tried to bring Afghanistan closer to the Soviet Union and expelled social elites among his citizens.

His actions lead to a broad coalition among respective elites and religious clerics, the Mujahidin, that later formed the Taliban with western support. Taraki, succeeded by his communist comrade Hafizullah Amin, was killed by the latter one year later. Hafizullah Amin is known for brutally escalating the crackdown on also secular opposition members sparking brutal resistance across the countries, countless fled to Pakistan were the first Taliban where recruited in refugee camps by the Pakistani ISI supported by the CIA. THe lack of religious freedom among communist ideals must have done its part in order to spark resistance among religious people, just like in Chechnya or Yugoslavia.

In the mean time the Soviet Union marched in, called for help by Kabul's revolutionary clique, thus opened the chapter of their ten years of "successful" mission in Afghanistan.

His excellence Ambassador Rogozin states at the most central point of his paper:
After the withdrawal of the Soviet Army, the Najibullah government that we left behind in Kabul remained in power for another three years." This "government" is correctly to be called a "mayorate of Kabul" as quickly after the Soviet retreat the city was besieged and supplied exclusively by an air-bridge. The Soviet satellite was crap and the infrastructure of Afghanistan totally devastated. If this was the mission, bravo. The Soviet approach to have naval access to the Indian Ocean was unsuccessful. Mission failed! (maybe somebody should state this towards the Afghan people)

Afghanistan was on nobody's radar before 9/11 and the respective Clinton Administration had its headache in order to solve the Middle East conflict, especially after Rabin's dead who saw a chance for peace as the Soviet Union was collapsed! G. W. Bush then was caught by surprise. (maybe somebody should state this towards the Afghan people)

Most important to me, as we are talking about a media-war, is to differentiate between NATO and Soviet perspectives in Afghanistan as, according to the paper, the remainings of the latter has one. NATO launched its onslaught on the Taliban-regime in Kabul after a request to extrait OBL, which they refused. The Taliban refused and NATO went on a search mission on its one. The war on Tali-ban was originally a side story because they were/are only the host of OBL and Al-Q. The fact, that the Taliban were not informed on what OBL and Zawahiri were up to, in my opinion, is no excuse for not to extradite them on request. The Taliban have frequently been remembered on this and offered partial amnesty through participation in popular elections in return for extradition of OBL.

I think NATO has learned much out of the disaster of the Soviet Union for example by creating infrastructure instead of destroying it and respecting the predominant religion on the ground. (maybe somebody should state this towards the Afghan people)

Rogozin may have calculated, that political correctness would enforce NATO staff to discuss at least one point of his letter seriously, and maybe he calculated on this one:
"In fact, we were the first to defend Western civilization against the attacks of Muslim fanatics. No one thanked us."

In order not to write a book here, Islamic Terrorism clearly recruits from hot-spots were the Soviet Union dealt with civilians who were of "a different opinion or of believe". If the Soviet variable is added to a colonial variable subjected to a predominantly Muslim region both indicators are strikingly definite.

The Soviets tried to quit a colonial regime by communist revolution that turned into suppressing religion that respectively turned away the Communist regime itself...
The US early enough recognized that suppressing religion is dumb, witnessed by contemporary Turkey... and the Iranian Revolution, that causes headache until today.
The long relations between Saudi Arabia and the US witnesses that there is a fundamental understanding for Religion itself by the American people. (maybe somebody should state this towards the Afghan people)

Dimitri Medviedev also stated that Communism was a "crime against humanity"... such the Soviet behavior towards Muslims... shall I thank Russia for that? For the genocide on Muslim minorities in Bosnia and Chechnya, that ended with vigor and honest help especially by NATO? (maybe somebody should state this towards the Afghan people)

It is especially tragic that 9/11 was perpetrated by Muslims as the US obviously is the onliest not predominantly Muslim country in the whole world with a successful Muslim minority that practices its Islam in freedom. (maybe somebody should state this towards the Afghan people)

This benefit for US foreign affairs is getting increasingly jeopardized by the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. The most scaring is the fact that nobody understands 9/11... KSM to court, please!
 
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January 12, 2010

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That I am of the opinion, that Muslims have been underrepresented and misunderstood because of a clique of terrorists? And that people like Ambassador Dimitry Rogozin try to conceal their historic failures in Chechnya, Bosnia and Afghanistan by now trying to make use of panic-like tendencies among the Christian world to perpetrate nightmare-like developments.

Chechnya and Bosnia are burned into the mind of the people in the Middle East. If a relation between Russia and NATO develops, that would give the impression, that Chechnya, Bosnia and Afghanistan are "excused" under the light of an upcoming complaint at The Hague against Serbia, the "Media War" is lost.

In no war of world-history identity, solidarity and history are more fundamental on levels of recruitment and legitimation than today. As I mentioned earlier, the propaganda machinery of Al-Q roots on historic events, less on contemporary incidents...

And that I am democratic, grew up under a protecting curtain of NATO, democracy, freedom and equality, is no secret.

 
Marc William Zedler

January 12, 2010

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Forgive me if I stray a bit from the current discussion. But, when we discuss the 'media war' I feel that online terror networks are far more dangerous than Al-Jazeera or poorly made amateur footage. It saddens me that so little action taken in this field as we can see its been gaining in popularity over these years.

We just have to look at the Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab (Christmas bomber) or Dr. Humam Khalil Abu-Mulal al-Balawi (Double agent in Afghanistan) to see the shift in recruitment methods. What makes online recruitment so effective is its cheap and people look for them à la Craigslist for terrorists.

Resources need to spent on developing a department that counters this cyber-terror. The manpower and personnel pool is available and it mystifies me how such sites can even make it online, which can easily be found.

Heck, the Russian's do it i.e. Estonia. I'm not saying we should follow exactly the same methods but its obvious more effort is needed.

Hack the sites and shut them down. A system of filtration, isolating and blocking should be implemented on this information battle. Stop the flow of information the breeds hate.

_____
Major General Michael Flynn, Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence in Afghanistan for the US forces, said “The US intelligence community [in Afghanistan] is ignorant of local economics and landowners, hazy about who the powerbrokers are and how they might be influenced, incurious about the correlations between various development projects and levels of cooperation among villagers, and disengaged from people in the best position to find answers."

- This has been the major obstacle facing the US for many years now, but in defense of the intelligence agency they have slowly started to learn from their mistakes i.e. working with Sunni tribal members in Iraq. But, we are unable sugar coat that there have been erroneous errors in judgment. Nonetheless, it makes sense that there are cultural misunderstandings for these far-flung regions, but I believe the crux of the issue comes down little understanding of politics/culture/geography within basic education teaching. It just neglected thus creating a ripple effect towards the higher echelons.
______

"In no war of world-history identity, solidarity and history are more fundamental on levels of recruitment and legitimation than today. As I mentioned earlier, the propaganda machinery of Al-Q roots on historic events, less on contemporary incidents..."

- Well said! Many of which have studied history or have college or at least education levels.
 
Member deleted

January 13, 2010

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Dear Marc,

thank your for 'straying away' and bringing our journey away from the Media War back to the issue! As I stated earlier, Al-Q is a media ghost also, and respectively there are two battlefields that we have to penetrate successfully in order to succeed finally.

The first battlefield is the ancient one, defined by weapons of ordinary payload, were ISAF/NATO and its local allies across the Muslim world are the dominant player [subjected to a camouflaged enemy], but the second is the ideological one, that with the dawn of the 21 century is increasingly shifted to the media and the Internet.

Much speaks for just putting the spread of this evil mindset away, throwing it over the board in order to beat the crap out of the (observable part of) thought of the world. Clearly this would have a significant decrease in recruitment and "spraying" of those entities as a result. So finally, as a central part of a strategy, the complete shutdown of sources "that breed hate" must be considered, therefore I assessed your comment as "outstanding". I think Abbas Dayar (and Me) would be happy to see the Afghan people and Muslims at all no more exposed to such kind of mindset.

But your comment reminded me on a still pending issue in Germany, such the ban of the fascist NPD party. Others have argued PDS - Die Linke (Communists) are to be banned as they obviously host anti-democratic currents.

A smart approach in order not to ban those parties was/still is the fact, that undoubtedly dangerous mindsets would go increasingly into hiding. As well NPD as PDS, at least officially, do not perpetrate acts of terrorism and capital crimes they are much more begin than their radical/terrorist counterparts, such radical "Neo-Nazis" and "Der Schwarze Block" respectively.

Banning would firstly increase the membership count of those terrorist organizations and secondly send them into hiding that would make it much more difficult for the intelligence community to observe them, hence make them way more dangerous. We remember the court hearing on NPD-ban when a elite member (second CEO) and central eye-witness of the NPD was revealed as an agent of the Verfassungsschutz (German NSA).

I compared this because the transatlantic community e.V discussed a book on the new Islamic middle class and I had a couple of highly interesting and inspiring conversation on the ground with people from respective groups. Their mindset is skilled, educated, peaceful, most professional and sophisticated but everything but in favor of "the West" , however, under the light of the Iraq war and the history of the Middle East, as they send their children to school on a daily basis and want to see their pension fund secure. And as in the Western World as in the Middle East the crossings within the political spectrum from a liberal/idealistic to a conservative/ideological to a radical/terrorist mindset are most fluent.

The 'Christmas Bomber' himself was a member of this middle class and really, what the heck made him a terrorist (!!??) as he would have been able to have a decent live in a resource rich country. Therefore, yes, let us all crack down on those online forums!!!

But Major General Michael Flynn, Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence in Afghanistan for the US forces, reminded us on the fundamental "cultural misunderstandings" that "created a ripple effect towards the higher echelons."

As Christopher stated earlier at another entry on terrorism, we don't know how the intelligence acts. If it is really a that severe and fundamental, and Major General Flynn is obviously capable of the assessment, lacking behind in knowledge, those internet forums provide one of the rare opportunities in order to observe the adversaries on the surface.
One could imagine informations on attacks, codes, IP-Adresses, Server locations, decryption, aso. maybe observed and gathered among these forums.

Greg stated that he would like to see the enemy on the run, so bombing a server location could be much more compliant on his strategy, than just virtually disabling the server by DOS-Attacks or similar, or paying a visit to the contributors of such forums in order to bribe or else.

Before the surge in Iraq I read a report that stated, "the enemy uses communication of the stone age, such is smart enough not to be observed were we could do so." So if we start to crack down a forum, the intelligence community could go violet and explain us something like I mentioned above.

To bring it to a nutshell, there are two benefits of those forums at hands, such information gathering and infiltration of their "real world" networks. On the other hand I have to agree on levels to prevent real attacks, shutting down internet forums would have been much more effective than an intensively/discriminating searching of people from certain countries at airports, that could provide the terrorist-recruiters a broader audience and... but if we want to understand who and where,what made Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab the Cristmas Bomber observing appears to be prior.

A tough decision I think many politicians and figures concerned with the issue...
 
John  Hadjisky

January 13, 2010

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Good article and comments.

On the question of hacking Islamist (especially Jihadi) web sites...it might help restrict their global reach somewhat. It might temporarily disrupt their communications channels, or perhaps degrade their response time to world events, so that it takes them days instead of hours to respond.

The thing to realize, however, is that the Islamist/Jihadi movement sees the Internet as an additional, very useful tool, but not a fundamental tool. Their fundamental tool is more low-tech - bootleg DVDs of sermons, martyrdom operations, or other compelling images that are passed from hand to hand or sold in informal bazaars the world over. For this they need computers and other technology, but they don't really need the Internet. From what I can see, DVD (or even cassette tape!) trading is their primary distribution; the Internet distribution is just a bonus. Perhaps the Internet gives them more of an entrée into the West, but they have also re-created something in the West that is very similar to the pre-Internet tape-trading culture that efficiently serviced the pornographic industry for decades. If only they would make love, not war!

Also, hacking Web sites can be problematic for a number of legal, ethical and moral reasons. Hacking is a potentially useful element of an over-all media war strategy, but its usefulness should not be over-emphasized.
 
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January 13, 2010

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Dear John,

first of all, as you introduced the word Jihadi, let us be clear that with regard to Afghanistan and Yemen we exclusively talk about Jihadis. An Islamist, is almost like Evangelists and Catholicists a group of especial conservative and believing people. More precisely no taxi driver with a beard, pali and Koran on placement area ever tried to trick me ever in the Muslim world.

The Jihadi mindset is exactly that makes the difference between the Islamist and the terrorist. This difference would be of especial value the moment you take up the media war seriously by a bipolar strategy that a) would separate the wishful defined citizen from the terrorist by sharply cutting the social milieu there and b) pronounce the anti/non-Islamic character of Jihadist mindsets as it is represented for example by Sayyid Qutub, mentor of Al-Zawahiri.

Islamists are merely a question among democratic states as some sentences in the Koran, if read into a certain direction, could lead to a subversive mind set, but not necessarily radical.

On levels of media that transports Jihadist propaganda you are right, as Al-Q operates in especially poor countries that have rarely Internet access. Consequent translating and else support your thesis that the Internet targets the West. Especially because the media is that manifold it is nearly impossible to deny Jiihadists access to it.

The central reason why Jihadists have to be met on idealistic and informal levels in order to uncover their lies, encounter their manipulation and mocked plausibility.

As we discussed "fire with fire" especially Islamists are capable in doing so, as they most easily recognize Jiihadist mindsets as crack-brained. Again, Abbas Dayiar is right to recruit and direct the strategy into that direction.

Especially the US can be helpful there as Europe increasingly fails in integrating its Muslim minority, e.g would not be able to recruit there:


Europe’s Minaret Moment
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/07/opinion/07douthat.html?_r=1&partn...

Muslims part of US social fabric
http://english.aljazeera.net/focus/2009/12/2009121784234277996.html






 
Marie-Claude  Corneauster

January 14, 2010

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"Especially the US can be helpful there as Europe increasingly fails in integrating its Muslim minority, e.g would not be able to recruit there:"

ol right your source is american, what can you expect when Americans only watch TV scoops on car burnings ?

now if one diggs more into statistics, out of the given number of about 5 millions muslims we have in France, which percentage represents these rioters (who aren't only muslims) ?

http://lm-aix.edufr.net/professeurs/rodrigues/eco1/Chapitre%204/Pes...

http://religion.info/french/articles/article_442.shtml

The majority of our muslims integrated, they got "education" for free through our school system, the majority doesn't practice religion, (like the majority of French)

those who makes troubles, are the uneducated strates that prefer drugs gangs rewardings than a normal profession, and naturally they are the one that complain, and are likely becoming jihadists preys, like in America Farakan managed to feder blacks population into an anti-white jihad

Muslins women are in Sarkozy's government, lot of muslims are university teachers, technicians (Areva has quite a few now), the army has a lot , in Afghanistan too..


also, check what Koran says if one follows its preceipts in its very words, (like if one would still follow Bible preceipts at the origin) as requested by the fondamentalists : jihad over the infidels !

ol right also american sources !


http://www.jihadwatch.org/2010/01/how-islam-breathed-new-life-into-...

http://www.amazon.com/Holy-Warriors-John-J-ONeill/dp/0980994896/ref...




 
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January 14, 2010

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Dear Claude, you are right.

As we live in an enlighted liberal-democratic humanist society, a close interpretation of any of the three books could lead to a subversive mindset. Thanks to especially French philosophers we achieved this stage of civilization, or as the US is labeled frequently "able to unite many religions and ethnics under one patriotism". Obviously a heritage from early republican French ties... liberte, egalite, fraternite!

Also France witnesses much more successful Muslim politicians and university teachers than in Germany for example, or the Netherlands areas, were things increasingly turn violet.

And sure, France could increasingly witness jiihadist tendencies under the light of failed integration and free migration from former colonies, I think this problem must be addressed. A provocative article by the NY-times can help in this.

I think Al-Q sent the Christmas Bomber on that rout because he thereby passed a country that witnesses Nazi-like politicians when it comes to Islamic minorities or Islam itself. To choose Christmas was especially provocative.

After the announcement of the US to increase security measures, incidents occurred that indicate rude cases of racial discrimination towards Saudis traveling to the US over this country (acc Saudi Asharq Awasat newspaper) . Another point that indicates a psychological highly sophisticated manipulation and propaganda by Al-Q. Another point that would provide reason for a broadly and transnational media campaign in order to quell Jiihadist tendencies.

 
Yasser  Abumuailek

January 19, 2010

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I believe that the NATO and its allies need to re-orient their policies and tactics in Afghanistan.

My opinion might contradict some of those expressed by fellow commentators, but it is my own personal belief that the war on terrorism can be won with a minimal deployment of arms and a massive concentration on the war to win the hearts and minds of the Afghan people. However, the rules of this "game" are different from those applicable to other regions around the world, such as Sri Lanka or Thailand or Africa. One needs to obtain a wider understanding of the local culture and the interaction between the different classes of society, in order to determine the best method of approaching the problem at hand.

It won't be sufficient to bring with you a group of exiled locals and then appoint them as your contact persons in the regions. ISAF and NATO forces need to obtain extensive local support, dealing mainly with religious/social or tribal leaders, because these figures are the KEY to the hearts and minds of the population.

It is not entirely true that the attack on the CIA offices by a double-agent constitutes a failure for the Western intelligence society. It proves the fact that the traditional clandestine operations that were the norm of the Cold War era are slowly but surely becoming obsolete in today's globalized world and loosely-formed by decentralized terror cells. Leaders of the intelligence society should start thinking about new and unorthodox methods of infiltrating terrorist networks and information gathering, exactly as the military is demanded to re-think its traditional tactics of fighting insurgents as if fighting another regular army. Insurgents operate on on-the-fly flexible street-war-tactics, and cannot be countered except with similar approaches.

Another important issue in the situation in Afghanistan: education. It might seem that the terrorists are winning the hearts and minds of people, but that's only because they're efficiently able to REACH those people and convince them of whatever propaganda they might distribute. With proper investment in the education of the Afghan people, this approach would be completely worthless to terrorists, even if they're more present in the media than the reconstruction efforts of ISAF/NATO... if you build schools and educate the people, they'll be able to analyze what they're being told and build up an independent opinion. I have absolutely no doubt that when that opinion is built up, it would be for the favor of the democratic values and against any fundamentalist tendences.
 

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