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February 9, 2009 |  5 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

The Case for Germany First

Tyson Barker: Biden’s historic first visit to Germany underscores a new reality in trans-Atlantic relations when the US is looking for partners on the tough economic and political questions, the road to Europe goes through Berlin.

The closing days of the Bush administration dealt a final, ignominious blow to the already estranged relationship between the United States and Europe. Frustrated by what they saw as European intransigence, Bush trade officials enacted tough sanctions on America's European allies and brought a case before the World Trade Organization (WTO) about the European Union's ban on the import of chlorine-treated American poultry products.

The move underscored the state of affairs that has been the norm over the past eight years-that the trans-Atlantic relationship is in the doldrums. True, the relationship isn't at the lows that it reached in the run up to the Iraq war in 2003. True, much lip-service has been paid on both sides of the Atlantic to the "need to work together." But in the end, the damage done to transatlantic relations-straining both the American economic and political alliances with Europe- will be one of President Bush's most damning legacies.

Some have argued that repairing this relationship should not be a top priority in the first year of the Obama presidency. This would be a mistake. European countries are the essential partners in tackling some of the world's most difficult challenges. The consulting-firm Eurasia Group recently published its report on the top ten geopolitical risks of 2009 that listed three in Europe (#4 Russia, #8 Ukraine and #9 Turkey). In two other areas (#2 South Asia and #3 Iran/Israel), Europe is the United States' primary strategic partner. The Eurasia Group's list excludes climate change, restructuring the global financial system or dealing with China. Here as well, trans-Atlantic cooperation will be the primary determinant of success or failure.

2009 will be a tricky period for jump-starting the trans-Atlantic relationship. Aside from the economic crisis and the legacy of the Bush administration, Europe holds several major elections this year. German national elections in September will be particularly crucial for determining the direction trans-Atlantic relations will take. But re-establishing a viable and relevant trans-Atlantic relationship will require partnership with Germany- the nation that is at once Europe's economic powerhouse and its dark horse in political leadership.

On the economic front, the Obama administration must work with Europe in general, and Germany in particular, to stave off a greater global economic downturn. In the immediate short term, this means eliminating the highly controversial "Buy America" clause from the stimulus package. This clause is anathema to the spirit of economic openness that characterized the Washington G20 summit.

In the mid-term, the goal should be to re-ignite the Transatlantic Economic Council (TEC) as a coordinating institution for trade and capital-market regulation. Created in May 2006 during the German EU presidency, the TEC was the flagship project of Germany's grand-coalition government. The TEC was also created to facilitate reconciliation after the bruising period before the Iraq war. As such, Chancellor Angela Merkel has a strong stake in its success. The aim is to harmonize regulation and product standards, and craft a common trans-Atlantic capital market. The TEC could lay the foundation for coordinated efforts to overcome the current economic crisis. But if it is to succeed in this role, the TEC should remain in the White House, close to President Obama's core economic team.

On the political front, the key for the new administration will be to bridge the politically desirable in the United States with the politically possible in Europe. The Obama administration has already begun delivering on issues related to Guantanamo and climate change at a dizzying pace. This has delighted European publics and political elites alike. The task ahead will be to spin these domestic political wins into policy dividends from US allies in Europe. Germany will ultimately also be the keystone in any working transatlantic approach to Russia, a successful strategy for containing Iran and stabilizing Afghanistan.

This weekend, Joe Biden traveled in Germany to attend the annual Munich Security Conference, his first trip overseas as vice president. He saw again Germany's enthusiasm and curiosity about the new administration. But maintaining this spirit, and stoking the willingness to cooperate on the tough questions, will require a sustained effort, a steady hand, and an open ear on the part of the new administration.

Tyson Barker works for the Bertelsmann Foundation in Washington DC. He is a graduate of SAIS, Johns Hopkins and Columbia University and has worked extensively on transatlantic issues.

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Andrey  Chubyk

February 10, 2009

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You are quite right in your estimation of the role of Germany in European issues, but from my point of view this is not used yet or will be used after September election. It would be very interesting to know you attitude to main candidates as I see them - current Cancelor A.Merkel and Ministry of foreign affairs? Would you like to comment this election run as critical for future cooperation?
 
Christia  Flourentzou

February 11, 2009

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I agree that Obama seems to be extending a hand of cooperation to Germany. The question is, however, whether Germany will accept the offer and pay the price for the renewed friendship. I think yesterday's TPC from Der Spiegel is very interesting in this respect. While Germany might be enthusiastic about economic and political cooperation, it seems skeptical of the military clause of the friendship, especially the prospect of moving beyond participation in civilian based projects.

I think that it will be interesting to see how the issue of renewed ties to the United States will be used in the upcoming German election but also to see how it will impact the election. Divisions are already apparent with Chancellor Merkel being hesitant to sign up for the new US-Germany deal and Foreign Minister Steinmeier pressing ahead with the Obama vision.
 
Donald  Stadler

February 12, 2009

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"The closing days of the Bush administration dealt a final, ignominious blow to the already estranged relationship between the United States and Europe. Frustrated by what they saw as European intransigence, Bush trade officials enacted tough sanctions on America's European allies and brought a case before the World Trade Organization (WTO) about the European Union's ban on the import of chlorine-treated American poultry products."

Apparently the Bush Administration acted provocatively by tripling import tariffs on Roqufort cheese, while the EU has behaved with commendable restraint by enacting a decade-long complete ban upon entire classes of Us agricultural products, including beef, any foods which may be tainted by GM, and now poultry.

My word, fancy that evil man Bush bringng a case against the perfectly just and reasonable closing of the EU market to yet another class of US agricultural products, and responding with a draconian attack on - Roquefort. Which no doubt intantly tripled the insurance premium on every McDonald's in France!

It's clear that 'provocation' and 'restraint' do indeed rest in the eye of the beholder. Far better to repeatedly ban billions of euros worth of imports from a supposed ally with sweeping legislation than to touch one hair on a cheese-producer's head. The only way for the US government to avoid oppobrium is to ignore serial European bans on US products. Sweeping EU bans are not by definition provocative. Raising US tarriffs on specific products are by definition an attempt to start a trade war!

Right.......

 
joe  stone

February 22, 2009

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Don S

Gee do not be so hard on Tyson. You are now confusing the issue with silly facts and a different POV.

You should have known where this discussion was going when it began with the opening about Biden’s historic …..
 
Donald  Stadler

February 22, 2009

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Do you mean US cooperation in the systematic banning of US farm products from the European market? Not to mention European 'cooperation' (if that is what it's called) on an entire range of issues?

Night is Day, Black is White, and 1984 has come and gone.....
 

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