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April 3, 2009 |  4 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

 Jeffrey D. Sachs

The Transition to Sustainability

Jeffrey D. Sachs: Long term economic growth will only be achieved if accompanied by sustainable investments in green technologies. Yet developed countries ought also to understand that they need to guide and help developing countries towards sustainability.

The global economic crisis will be with us for a generation, not just a year or two, because it is really a transition to sustainability. The scarcity of primary commodities and damage from climate change in recent years contributed to the destabilization of the world economy that gave rise to the current crisis. Soaring food and fuel prices and major natural disasters played an important role in undermining financial markets, household purchasing power, and even political stability.

Viewed in this way, an essential policy that developed and developing countries should pursue in overcoming the crisis is to build infrastructure suitable for the twenty-first century. This includes an efficient electricity grid fed by renewable energy; fiber and wireless networks that carry telephony and broadband Internet; water, irrigation, and sewerage systems that efficiently use and recycle fresh water; urban and inter-city public transit systems; safer highways; and networks of protected natural areas that conserve biodiversity and the habitats of threatened species. 

These investments are needed in the short term to offset the decline in worldwide consumption spending that underlies the global recession. More importantly, they are needed in the long term, because a world crowded with 6.8 billion people (and rising) simply cannot sustain economic growth unless it adopts sustainable technologies that economize on scarce natural resources.

In practice, the global crisis means that sustainable investments are being curtailed rather than expanded in the developing world. As access to international bank loans, bond flotations, and foreign direct investment is lost, infrastructure projects talked about in the past are now being shelved, threatening the political and economic stability of dozens of developing countries.

In fact, every part of the world has a huge backlog of vital infrastructure investments. It is time for a concerted global effort to bring those projects on line. This is not easy to do. Most infrastructure investment requires public-sector leadership to forge partnerships with the private sector. Typically, the public sector must enter into contractual agreements with private firms not only to build the infrastructure, but also to operate it as a regulated monopoly or on a concession basis.

Governments generally lack the needed technical capacity to design such projects, opening up possibilities of favoritism and corruption when major contracts are awarded.  Such charges are likely to be hurled at governments even when they are not true, though all too often they are.

Still, the backlog of such projects is now wreaking havoc with the world economy. The world's major cities are clogged with traffic jams and pollution. The atmosphere is filling with greenhouse gases from heavy use of fossil fuels. Water scarcity is hitting virtually every major economic center, from North America to Europe, Africa, India, and China.  

Governments should thus strengthen their ministries of infrastructure (including power, roads, water and sanitation, and information and communication technologies), as well as their national development banks, so that they can properly design long-term infrastructure projects and programs. The ability to offset the crisis in a constructive manner through expanded public-private partnerships will determine the subsequent success of countries and regions. Interestingly, the US is about to create a National Infrastructure Bank for the first time. 

Nevertheless, American and European economic advisers generally believe that a short sharp stimulus will be enough to restore economic growth. This is wrong. What will be needed is an overhaul of the world economy towards sustainability.

Moreover, policymakers in the rich world believe that they can continue to neglect the developing world, or leave it to its fate in global markets. This is also a recipe for global failure, and even future conflict. Developed countries will have to do far more to help poor countries through the transition to sustainability. Whereas most of the "stimulus" legislation to date has been short-term and inward-looking, increased funding for sustainable infrastructure in poor countries would provide a powerful boost to rich-world economies.

Developed countries should agree to channel considerable savings to developing countries to finance the scale-up of sustainable investments. This can be done directly on a bilateral basis, for example, through long-term loans from developed countries' export-credit agencies. It can also be done multilaterally, by raising the infrastructure investment flows from the World Bank and the regional development banks (including the Inter-American Development Bank, European Investment Bank, African Development Bank, and Asian Development Bank). Both channels should be used. 

Developed countries also fail to recognize that without much greater financing of sustainable infrastructure in the developing world - especially sustainable power generation and transmission - a global agreement on climate change later this year (or any time soon) will be impossible. The rich world somehow expects poor countries to restrict their use of fossil fuels without any significant help in financing new and sustainable sources of energy. In almost all of the rich-country proposals about targets, limits, commitments, and permits for greenhouse gases, there is hardly a word about helping poor countries to finance the transition to sustainable technologies.

The G-20 meeting in London on April 2 offers hope for a true global effort to repair the failing world economy. This is the time and place to launch the global drive toward sustainability. If we fail to meet the challenge, the global crisis will endanger the world for years to come.

Jeffrey D. Sachs is Professor of Economics and Director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University.

The article was first published by Project Syndicate, which is an international association of 387 newspapers in 145 countries. It is republished here with the permission of the association.

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Unregistered User

April 5, 2009

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Sustainability in real growth within the structure of nations will not be able to be
achieved, as long as a deficit managed key currency is dominating.
When, despite of subordinated currencies of other consumer nations,
all business, such as oil contracts etc., is consumed in this key currency,
the denominating country of this key currency will become the " black hole "
of forced consumerism.
Recycling of the key currency will become modus operandi, while printed
currency denominations or sophisticated derivativs thereof will be injected
to sustain and/or to stimulate growth.
Globalization will disproportionately increase not only the business base,
but will also promote distributed manufacturing away from the key currency
country to satellite nations.
Continued printing of currency paper will soon move through the values
of 15% of GDP and will then be propelled through hyperinflation to about
50%, as it was the case in the Weimar Republic, before the bubble will .burst.

Regional control currencies will help to support above mentioned
sustanability, in our case perhaps within the context of BRISC.
These control currencies will be valued by means of a international base, such as IDRs, but with the participation of all.--------

Just to mention, that prior to the G20 meeting the People's Republic of China
already initiated currency swaps with Argentina, Belarus, Indonesia and others.
Further, Brazil will propose to China, which is Brazil's second biggest
trading partner after the US, to consume trade between both nations
through there own currencies.------------

HRF




Tags: | athens |
 
Nikolina-Romana  Milunovic

June 4, 2009

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While I agree one hundred percent with your main thesis that economic sustainability can only be achieved in cooperation with the developing countries and more financial aid for the latter I find it vital to enclose another target to the list of possible stimulants for a sustainable economy of LDCs.
Due to the Sub-Saharan countries’ extraordinarily disadvantageous geography, an aspect that is many times forgotten when dealing with the „underdevelopment“ of many African states, it has proven to be incomparably difficult, if not impossible, for these LDCs to overcome the crucial repercussions of their climate. Therefore economic growth remains low and diseases spread easily. I agree, that financial aid of rich countries contributing to a much needed extension or development of the infrastructure in these states could greatly improve the above described consequences of the subtropical climate.
However I believe that the second vital factor for sustainable economic growth in Sub-Sahara-Africa is the investment in education. Enabling younger generations to make informed decisions would ultimately benefit the countries in a long term much more than just monetary incentives or the development of the infrastructure alone.
While I am certain that an improved infrastructure and investments in the educational sector provided by developed countries would allow the African LDCs to overcome their „underdevelopment“ due to geographical and historical circumstances I am most uncertain about the probability of this actually taking place as developed countries have not demonstrated the willingness to evoke a sustainable improvement in their former colonial empires so far.

NRM
Tags: | Africa | development | colonial empire |
 
Gregor  Schueler

June 4, 2009

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It's always been about money with Mr Sachs. But while that's undeniably part of the problem, the main issues that should be addressed prior to handing out large cheques are governance, corruption and 'quality control'.
The first two should be obvious, but the latter is worryingly absent from practical aid processes. What do the Somalians need broadband internet for?
Aid agencies tend to have their pet projects and inter-agency coordination remains an utopian ideal.
Add to that Ms Milunovic's comment on geography and you end up with a cocktail of complex and interacting problems that you cannot deal with by throwing money at it.
 
Nikolina-Romana  Milunovic

June 5, 2009

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I strongly support Mr. Schueler's comment. The early beginnings of development aid approaches of the 1960's have undeniably proven that mere monetary support offered by Western states resulted in no tripple-down effect whatsoever. The approach of the 1970's, more concentration on basic human needs, was a step in the right direction, but even this ideal showed little success in the struggles of overcoming the LDC's "underdevelopment", a term that is very controversial in my opinion, as it emanates from the idea, that our Western development is the status quo and the only way to improve at all. In the following decades of development politics the western community realized that principles like self-for-selfhelp, good governance and the aspect of sustainability were vital elements in desperate need of consideration when it comes to achieving a profound, sustainable change in the poorest countries. Therefore I agree with Mr. Schueler's accentuation of quality control. Only by controlling your results you can successfully accomplish the process of handling problems. This last step is used in any corporate or administrative process therefore is seems incomprehensible to me why development politics have neglected this aspect during the last decades.
I see the same problem concerning the Millennium Development Goals. Without a doubt there are meaningful and vital approaches, however it is most certain that the majority won't be accomplished before 2100, such as the improvement of primary education and yet only few international protagonists seem to be bothered by this lack of control and evaluation of the implemented approach. It seem that the setting of objectives is the most vital part of aid development at the moment, which in my opinion is a central issue detaining developing countries from overcoming underdevelopment.
 

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