Issues Navigator

Global Challenges

Strategic Regions

Domestic Debates

Tag cloud

See All Tags

May 6, 2010 |  7 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

What Impact Will the UK Elections Have?

Catriona Hanks: The hot issue in the UK elections is the economy. But let us not forget that there are a whole host of significant other issues like UK foreign policy for the next five years.


It is the eve of the general election and Britain is trembling with anticipation. As the parties make their final frantic push for votes, the more internationally-minded among us wonder what this election might mean for the UK's role in the wider world, and even whether global issues are relevant to an election which looks likelier than ever to be decided on domestic grounds? The second of the famous celebrity 'leader debates' was supposedly on 'foreign policy' and yet was largely dominated by domestic issues - the UK, like the rest of Europe on the tail of a world wide recession, is turning in on itself, desperately scanning the home scene for signs of recovery, for what to save and for where to potentially cut.

Although some predict the Tories will make a sure grasp at power, others say a hung parliament looms large on the horizon. Either way this tight three-way fight is by no means determined. And this is significant for UK foreign policy. Perhaps the big issue here is Europe. If the Tories come to power the UK and Europe could face an uneasy ride. If the Liberal Democrats fall into the mix (a ferociously pro-EU party) then perhaps the pros and cons might find themselves balancing out. Likewise, party policy differs substantially and significantly on issues like Afghanistan, immigration or further devolution. These UK elections won't just determine our economic management: they will also dictate foreign policy for the next five years. There are other issues at stake.

Catriona Hanks studies at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies in Bologna.


Dear readers,

A few additional questions from the Atlantic Community's editorial Team:

  • What impact on the European Union do you expect from the UK elections?
  • Will elections affect the role of NATO in Afghanistan or other areas of conflict?
  • Will the outcome influence the US-UK foreign policy relationship?
  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this Article! What's this?

 
 
Comments
Member deleted

May 6, 2010

  • 1
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
The coming 5 years, or a little less than that now, is crucial for the UK, and for the EU as well. If UK choose to opt out of some of the EU institutions, she has to declare so slightly less than 4.5 years from now, or she will be taken as opting in these institutions, so reckoned.

The new UK government will be seen as the decider on this above mentioned affairs, among others.
 
Victoria  Naselskaya

May 6, 2010

  • 1
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
During more than a decade of Labour government the UK managed to get rid of its “awkward ” status among the EU members which was inherited from the former era of Conservative isolationism. New Labour actively engaged the state into the shaping of European policy while simultaneously putting at stake the pursuit of British objectives inside the EU. Nevertheless, one of the major shortcomings of British-European relationships is hidden in Blair’s failure to construct any domestic consensus behind the European policy. According to the polls (“Eurobaromether 72: Public opinion in the European Union.”) In autumn 2009 only 30% of Britons considered EU membership a good thing. Typical for Britons Eurosceptisism is aggravated by poor economic conditions within the country as well, as financial problems (bailout of Greece) in the Euro zone. These factors, in my opinion, could be turned into Conservative electoral dividends. However, with the increased popularity of LibDems and the electorate’s attempts to find the “lesser evil” between Labours and Tories, hung Parliament is still the most likely outcome of today’s elections.
 
Eva  Maria Krockow

May 7, 2010

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Based on the lacking concern for and absence of real discussion of Britain's future foreign policy, we are to expect high inconsistency and incoherence in the UK’s international position over the next months. In the run-up to the elections, most attention was paid to media scandals: The expenses debate seemed never-ending, the Tories were criticised for their financial dependence on Lord Ashcroft, rumours accused Gordon Brown of bullying and his accidentally recorded, ‘private’ comment caused public outrage. Britain discussed the pregnancy of Cameron’s wife and the leaders’ outfits during the pre-election debates. Political contents only received marginal attention and predominant topics were the BA/ railway strikes, the blame for the persistent economic crisis and various (unrealistic) models on public spending cuts. Foreign policy, however, was hardly covered at all. Very little concern about the future Afghanistan strategy, the relations with China and the US, or the EU involvement (apart from Cameron’s promise for public referenda on EU matters). Now, that the predicted election outcome of a hung parliament has become reality, the urgently needed talks on Britain’s international stance will be further postponed in favour of extensive negotiations on the formation of a hung parliament. UK politicians need to distance themselves from domestic squabbles and decide instead on the future of British international relations. In the current climate characterised by an instable EU community, global economic insecurity, constant nuclear and terrorist menace and a rising (and threatening?) East, strong and explicit foreign agendas are needed and expected from Britain.
 
Jennifer Margaret Anne Morrison

May 8, 2010

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
@ Eva Maria, it's true that the next few months (and quite possibly longer) are likely to be an uncertain time in UK politics.

However depending on the outcome of discussions re. the eventual make up of parliament I believe there is the potential for foreign policy, and particularly EU matters to be higher on the agenda than it could have been had there been a different outcome. The latest news reports are suggesting either a Conservative-Lib Dem or Labour-Lib Dem coalition, (the first being more likely at the moment) and the involvement of the Liberal Democrats in either coalition would should surely be welcome given their pro-EU policies?

Having said that I think domestic affairs are always going to be high on the agenda in any country's election, and I don't think there's necessarily anything wrong with that.
 
Unregistered User

May 8, 2010

  • 1
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
I agree that the British economy was certainly the most important issue of the election. However, the economic downturn has also caused concerns about immigration and xenophobia, which was partly the reason for BNP's success in the elections for the European Parliament last year (secured two seats).

In terms of foreign policy, the UK will have to redefine its relations with the US as the Foreign Affairs Committee has indicated. This combined with the Liberal Democrats' ability to pressure Labour/Conservatives towards a more pro-European approach could produce a UK foreign policy that favours EU integration or at least is not overtly opposed to it.
 
Jennifer Margaret Anne Morrison

May 8, 2010

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
@ previous comment

I think your final sentence sums up the main problem with UK approach towards EU integration perfectly, it would be a very unpopular decision with the majority of the UK public if the UK government were to wholeheartedly back policy favouring greater EU integration at the moment. But policies that are not overtly opposed to it are essential so that further integration can be built on for the future and negative EU integration attitudes can be changed.
 
Harry  Hunter

May 10, 2010

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
While the negotiations go one between the conservatives and Liberal Democrats, I don't see how an agreement can be formed if both parties wish to retain their traditional support base's. The Liberal Democrats won't be happy to join a coalition without an assured electoral reform and the Conservatives have no wish to risk their next electoral victory by introducing proportional representation or Single Transferable Vote systems. So a minority government quickly followed by another General Election is my prediction.

What does this mean for Europe? An extended period of British silence on European Issues at least domestically. At a time when pan-European financial and regulatory reform should be a key debate amongst the political classes I seriously doubt we'll see much more than verbiage on the topic. If and when the Conservatives do gain majority power I predict we'll see the traditional realignment and engagement with the United States at the expense of Europe, although i doubt the threatened plebiscite on EU membership would actually go ahead.
 

Create Comment

Type the characters shown in the image below into the textfield.
Captcha

What are tags?

Community

Jobs / Internships

Call for Papers

Atlantic Events

Partners

User of the day

Anna  Przybyll
Anna Przybyll
"A wise old owl lived in an oak The more he..."

Poll

Should NATO intervene in Syria?