Last month we wrote about the dangers of the well intended and plausibly-argued necessity for
government intervention into the banking sector. The salient danger we cited
was "[o]verreaction and overregulation. If governments get carried away in
their zeal to reign in 'run-away market forces' or if they think they can
establish the primacy of politics over economics again, then they will prolong
the crisis, not get us out of it."
The latest developments in government (mis-)
handling of this crisis have, depressingly, already turned this concern into
reality.
Riding the wave of anti-market populism,
even the nominally market-friendly elements in the German government
(Chancellor Angela Merkel being among the first to trade the "freedom" she once
campaigned for into smothering government meddling) have laden Germany's bank
bail-out bill with counterproductive, wholly unnecessary restrictions. Caps on
managers' income (not just bonuses - and in any case illegal meddling where
they would break existing contracts) and a freezing of dividends are just the
most publicly notable ones.
What turns bad policy into horrible policy,
however, is the political pressure now brought on institutions who don't need
the government handout‘n'takeover package to join. When Deutsche Bank director
Josef Ackerman stated that he would be ashamed to have to take the government's
(intrusive) help, he was not commended for keeping his bank out of trouble, nor
was he lauded for pointing to the disabling non-sequitur of the bailout bill:
it is unattractive to all banks but those who are about to croak. Instead, he
was clobbered into pretending that the toad the government wants to shove down
banks' throats is candy-coated. Instead of acknowledging that the bailout bill is
so loaded with regulatory baggage as to render it ineffective (because banks
who take it are rightfully branded as being close to defaulting), politicians
insist that every bank take the offer (even where not necessary) to
create the illusion that the bill is good ‘for the people' and that signing up
for the government takeover is just business as usual.
This is triply galling. It conspires to
take away choice from the banks and shareholders as to whether they want to be
co-owned by the state, and it masks government incompetence in contributing to
the crisis and mishandling the fix. Worst of all, it undermines the very point
the "generous" bail-out package had in the first place: To restore trust in the
lending capabilities of banks. The process has, if anything, undermined trust.
The proofs of the pudding are the stock market prices. So far there are no
plans to force banks into government
ownership - but according to a report of the newspaper Die Welt, "subtle
pressure" is to be exerted on banks to join. They are expected to ‘take one for
Germany.'
Germany is hardly the only - much less
worst - offender. Take France - where self-proclaimed pro-market Nikolas
Sarkozy had all his interventionist and stateist instincts tickled and is busily
working to create state funds to buy up French firms and protect them from the
evil of financial injections from abroad. To de-facto nationalize companies for
fear of international takeovers is very Venezuelan indeed, and the worst kind
of protectionism imaginable. This begs
the question whether Mr. Sarkozy has ever read about the last great financial
crisis and the narrow-minded protectionist policies that turned it into a full
blown depression. France, of all countries, should have learned that lesson the
hard way. Banks that take French version of the bailout plan (no salary cap -
and the six most important banks have already signed up), are now "obligated"
to offer loans to households, small businesses, and communities. Whether by
carrot or stick, hasn't pressuring banks to make loans without market
discipline proven a bad idea already?
The United States is hardly exempt from
what looks to be transatlantic idiocy.
Using the financial crisis as an excuse to prop up the auto industry,
Washington contemplates force-feeding GM, Chrysler and Ford to the tune of $35
billion in loans and cash infusions, abandoning all pretense of embracing free
markets. Meanwhile schemes for forcibly rewriting mortgages abound, the only
question is, whose plan wins. The European Commission and its constituent
governments - Germany ahead of the pack
- also yelp for state protection of the auto industry. The excuse, if one were
even necessary, is that the EU is merely ‘reacting' against unfair advantages
gained by companies in the US.
This has all the makings of a rat-race
toward protectionism, with a quick nose-thumb to the principles of a common and
free market signaling the shift in the wind.
If this is the global change ‘we' have been waiting for, batten the
hatches, because these winds are dangerous, and could spell tragedy for all.
Jens F. Laurson is editor in chief of the International Affairs Forum.
George A. Pieler is a senior fellow with the Institute for Policy Innovation.
Related materials from the Atlantic Community:
- Jens F. Laurson & George A. Pieler: Too Much Political Meddling Will Only Prolong the Financial Crisis
- Nouriel Roubini: US Markets Will Continue to Struggle
- Dominique Moisi: What Is France's Place In The World?



November 12, 2008
Bernhard Lucke, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Platinum Contributor (503)
I guess that the stabilization of the financial crisis is a long-term project, and the main task is restoring credibility. I share the doubts that lots of ad-hoc regulations and issuing cheap money by low interests is useful on the long run. The sudden drop of oil prices now even creates the danger of deflation.
While I think that many ideas of globalization-critial networks (e.g., Attac) are very worth considering (e.g., the Tobin tax on currency trades), the recent actions of our politicians show again that we live in a mediocracy where only the show counts. Capping salaries and pushing banks into the state aid is ironic: politicans use morals to regulate the stock market. If they would themselves give an example of moral integrity, honesty, and self-criticism, that would be more helpful.