CEPA analyst Ryan R. Miller and Alexandros Petersen, a CEPA Senior Associate Scholar, see a Polish-Lithuanian diplomatic tandem as a "force multiplier" for US priorities in the "New East Europe."
Miller and Petersen argue that a schism between Western and Central Europe was laid bare for all to see during last month's Georgia crisis - calling into question whether the EU as a whole can be an effective partner when confronting challenges in Russia's backyard. Moving forward, they suggest setting up the Poles and Lithuanians as America's point men on Europe's eastern periphery.



September 30, 2008
Francisco J. Ruiz, Spanish CESEDEN, Gold Contributor (84)
Their rivalry with imperial Russia has also been a constant for centuries. Even Moscow was occupied in 1610 by them, and later the expansion of Russia to the west during the reign of Catherine II "the Great" was made at expenses of the Polish-Lithuanian possessions.
Obviously, the existence of the Soviet Union and the 20th Century history did nothing good to improve the tri-lateral relation, but now we are in the 21st, the USSR has disappeared almost two decades ago, and Poland and Lithuania are full members of the European Union, so they shouldn’t be playing the “revenge and resentment” card against Russia, specially in the continental framework.
Of course, the US has tried to take advantage of the different perspectives inside the Union related to several aspects in the security realm, being the most famous the division in the “old” and “new” Europe made by Donald Rumsfield in 2003. The outcome is the lack of a single voice for Europe, but not due to the Western European postures, but due to the already mentioned resentment of some Eastern countries.
As a resume, if you become member of a club, and especially if that represent a huge amount of money for your poor countries’ development, you have to accept the opinion of the majority, and if you feel more comfortable dealing with the US, to create a new association with the Americans. In that way a two-speeds Europe wouldn’t be necessary, and we could relation with Russia without paying attention to old hates.