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Route to Success in Annapolis

Henry A. Kissinger dampens hopes on the outcome of the meeting on the Palestinian peace process in Annapolis. Even if parties manage to agree on the Taba Plan of 2000—essentially Israeli withdrawal to the 1967 borders—the implementation remains uncertain. Israeli and Palestinian interlocutors have shaky domestic positions. Additionally, it needs to be clarified what the willingness by several Arab states “to recognize Israel” means. Can they pressure Hamas to accept the outcome of the peace process? Specific agreements will be essential. The US needs to be prepared to offer long-term support to its Arab partners, because the success of moderation will also depend on America’s stand in the region.

 

 
 
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Lior  Petek

Mon, Oct 29th 2007, 23:37

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The Annapolis Conference is in my view all about “phony bargaining” as Lebow (“The Art of Bargaining”, 1996, p. 12) calls it. Both the Israeli and the Palestinian side just do not want to stand in the way of the outgoing US government’s pursuit of landing a flattering entry in the history books (indeed, Lebow makes a similar statement concerning the Madrid Conference in 1991, p. 22). I mean Gaza has become a new Afghanistan. Neither Abbas nor Olmert want to conduct any serious negotiations until the situation there has been reversed enabling the peace process to progress. Therefore, it will not even “lay the groundwork of a new, potentially hopeful phase that will continue into future administrations” as Kissinger wants it to.
 

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