Aniseh Bassiri: Almost ten years after the Iranian nuclear issue first emerged, the EU and the US are still struggling to find appropriate means to confront the nuclear aspirations of the Islamic Republic. Alternatives to the failing double track approach of transatlantic sanctions and engagement have to be found.
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It is nearly impossible to predict what the future will hold for Iranian politics. Nevertheless, thinking through various conceivable scenarios does provide decision-makers with important cues as to possible future developments. Two variables are important in any assessment of plausible political developments in Iran: the strength of the regime and the potential for external conflicts, in
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